Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x088583dceb723df30100642ed7d3474b9f281178628d77b5449bc85c416e752b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2307…3934backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 16,828$5,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,721.35 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 16,087$10,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,004.74 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 14,021$5,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,208.28 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 10,857$7,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,693.76 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 8,432$3,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,544.91 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…de6bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 5,374$3,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.56 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 4,556$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.21 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 4,508$2,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.46 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nigma Galaxy | 1c | 3,751$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 3,640$2,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.48 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…f7a8backed Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 3,527$2,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.06 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 3,400$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 3,142$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.75 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…b2e0backed Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 3,093$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.36 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 2,930$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.24 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 2,868$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.24 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 2,712$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.06 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 2,679$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.49 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +150%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 2,424$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.24 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 2,280$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.6 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 2,266$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.54 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 2,177$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 2,136$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.38 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 2,000$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.32 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…f8fbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 1,970$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.8 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 1,865$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.54 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 1,765$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 1,736$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.96 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 1,700$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.86 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 1,600$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.98 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 1,561$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.77 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 1,519$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.61 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 1,440$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.4 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 1,328$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 1,311$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.84 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 1,231$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.44 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 1,120$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.23 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…8257backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 903.12$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 845$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.65 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 817.38$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.14 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 776.72$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.16 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…7058backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 643.85$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 643.83$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.63 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 632.67$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.18 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…40e3backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 624.73$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.16 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 615.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.31 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a9…36bbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 606.2$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.2 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 595.11$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…a43dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 546.15$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.15 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 545$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 521.01$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 491$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.65 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 473.33$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.51 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb951…90a1backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 442.63$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd4…ea9abacked Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 418.01$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f48…218cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 400.61$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 370$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.54 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 358.28$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 327.78$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 325.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.6 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 308.56$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.56 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 304.99$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.06 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…ae72backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +65%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 299.98$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f2…3263backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 272.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.81 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 266.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 250$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb16c…4ceabacked Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 245.77$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 242.76$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.76 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…bab9backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 241.92$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.91 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 237.8$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.27 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 234.05$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.17 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 231.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 228.21$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.59 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 221.53$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 214.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 211.94$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.06 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c61…470fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b7…103cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 203.51$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558e…4878backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 203.17$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f52…14abbacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 202.63$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 200$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5f…7fbfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 94 | 78.7%74 W · 20 L | +13.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 197.43$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.3 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17c8…7153backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 186$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee01…c2cbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 186$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e4…43ebbacked Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 179$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…50d7backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 179$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd955…49c0backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 178$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab0…3887backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 178$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.