Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12e4ad5663b2bbcf0dbc151d78c6adf172a74ab6f50d2443bad80b3ee65e2986
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Tundra Esports, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Tundra Esports | 17c | 9,010$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 7,903$3,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,027.57 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 4,575$3,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.56 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 3,930$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.67 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Tundra Esports | 76c | 3,900$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,972.52 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Tundra Esports | 31c | 3,782$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.58 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 3,600$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.35 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 3,546$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Tundra Esports | 24c | 3,000$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports | 40c | 2,827$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.55 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 2,536$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.6 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Tundra Esports | 31c | 2,398$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.38 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 1,994$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.09 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 1,960$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 1,816$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.59 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Tundra Esports | 51c | 1,581$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Nigma Galaxy | 14c | 1,500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Tundra Esports | 49c | 1,489$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 1,404$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.81 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898e…f062backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 1,397$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb73b…7155backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 1,376$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.16 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 1,300$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Tundra Esports | 76c | 1,144$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.62 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 1,115$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.16 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 1,104$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.05 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…64c3backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 1,034$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.65 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Tundra Esports | 40c | 1,000$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.82 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Nigma Galaxy | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…f8fbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 983$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.91 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 900.97$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.95 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 875$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.83 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 872.5$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.28 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Tundra Esports | 74c | 800$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95a5…a523backed Nigma Galaxy | 14c | 769.05$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.05 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Nigma Galaxy | 12c | 751.96$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.72 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Nigma Galaxy | 13c | 600$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 569.35$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 533.34$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.34 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 527.68$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.38 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Tundra Esports | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 487.04$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.87 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 468.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.75 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 450.29$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.6 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 444.43$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.44 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 439.19$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.88 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f2…3263backed Tundra Esports | 75c | 400.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Nigma Galaxy | 15c | 400$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.18 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 390.89$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.81 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…7754backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 348.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.28 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c61…470fbacked Tundra Esports | 52c | 328.03$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 323$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.22 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 319.57$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.62 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…e8b1backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 319.23$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.5 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 314.83$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 313.63$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.56 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 304.38$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.72 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Nigma Galaxy | 14c | 300$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4f…ce1fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 292.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.86 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Nigma Galaxy | 13c | 256.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.55 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc47f…94b4backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Tundra Esports | 69c | 237.1$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.6 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 13c | 235$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.45 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 233.69$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.54 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 219.75$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.63 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Tundra Esports | 73c | 218.39$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x593c…4b27backed Tundra Esports | 75c | 215.6$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b5…6d52backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 206.31$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.79 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Nigma Galaxy | 12c | 200$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Nigma Galaxy | 13c | 199.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.99 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5d…99ebbacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 146 | 68.5%100 W · 46 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…122cbacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -10.2wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7617…77b6backed Tundra Esports | 10c | 150.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 139.89$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.42 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…1691backed Nigma Galaxy | 13c | 135$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.45 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc76b…5fbabacked Tundra Esports | 77c | 132.42$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.96 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 9c | 132$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.87 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…2e55backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 129.54$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.17 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tundra Esports | 79c | 116$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.76 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e7…4152backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 112.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…27ffbacked Tundra Esports | 75c | 104.64$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.48 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…252bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8aa…e4c2backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…3ad4backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b7…b4dcbacked Tundra Esports | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Tundra Esports | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 170 | 23.5%40 W · 130 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 97.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 84.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | -12.0wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…e4c1backed Tundra Esports | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 80.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.87 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…2c48backed Nigma Galaxy | 15c | 75.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 4cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.