CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: OG vs 500 (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d72287d3cb94e28f5c8965ce75c89aa78ba1ffcf663d1d1e9b23ad99c4a19f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 500of OG, 500
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $167,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed OG | 23c | 12,989$3,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,035.43 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed OG | 54c | 12,472$6,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,690.8 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 500 | 34c | 9,376$3,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,177.55 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 500 | 41c | 7,210$2,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,287.8 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed OG | 71c | 7,035$4,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,972.51 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x303b…53cabacked OG | 3c | 3,268$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.42 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed 500 | 12c | 3,024$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,663.38 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked 500 | 30c | 2,793$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.18 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked OG | 72c | 2,785$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.18 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59f7…c0cfbacked OG | 78c | 2,564$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e14…fb6bbacked OG | 70c | 2,450$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed 500 | 59c | 2,202$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.44 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…3984backed 500 | 32c | 1,700$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked 500 | 52c | 1,525$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.36 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked 500 | 20c | 1,500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.25 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8254…137fbacked OG | 22c | 1,491$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.32 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed 500 | 29c | 1,398$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.23 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…e8a8backed 500 | 61c | 1,147$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.79 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 500 | 66c | 1,138$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.61 | 1,263 | 46.9%592 W · 671 L | +18.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked OG | 71c | 1,132$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd36b…d4d4backed OG | 46c | 1,123$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked 500 | 78c | 1,078$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.58 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed OG | 70c | 1,075$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.6 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -10.0wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed 500 | 27c | 1,067$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.9 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…181dbacked OG | 72c | 1,019$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed 500 | 41c | 836.8$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.13 | 211 | 39.3%83 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed 500 | 59c | 786.49$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.46 | 465 | 45.6%212 W · 253 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb73b…7155backed 500 | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked 500 | 20c | 747.92$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.27 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed OG | 58c | 618.54$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed 500 | 31c | 600.45$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.02 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed OG | 15c | 600$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…12f1backed OG | 73c | 535.35$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked 500 | 64c | 534.16$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.32 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…46d6backed 500 | 20c | 520$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed 500 | 29c | 499.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5476…9649backed OG | 53c | 499.98$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked 500 | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked 500 | 57c | 460.32$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.16 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked OG | 53c | 415.91$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked 500 | 45c | 403.61$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.44 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…007dbacked 500 | 50c | 368.96$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.59 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…d868backed OG | 4c | 350$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed 500 | 20c | 349.95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked 500 | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed OG | 77c | 271.2$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.65 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked OG | 43c | 249.98$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.49 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb84b…95b1backed 500 | 27c | 245$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +117.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…a9a3backed 500 | 73c | 219.99$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed OG | 71c | 217.68$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.5 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…6953backed OG | 75c | 195.13$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…9131backed 500 | 55c | 192.03$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.73 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed OG | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed OG | 31c | 183.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 227 | 61.7%140 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked 500 | 58c | 182.83$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.67 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked 500 | 17c | 174.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.65 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed 500 | 17c | 151$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.66 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked 500 | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed OG | 70c | 143$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked OG | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 74.2%66 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f39…4c71backed OG | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…0e5bbacked OG | 12c | 136$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad3…1ad5backed OG | 58c | 130$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -9.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…a852backed 500 | 70c | 129.87$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab5e…e37abacked OG | 62c | 124.17$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b0…53bbbacked OG | 76c | 123.93$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed OG | 42c | 118.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…5075backed OG | 36c | 117.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…7796backed 500 | 27c | 110$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed 500 | 31c | 108.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.95 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked 500 | 47c | 106.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…be12backed 500 | 20c | 102$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked OG | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed 500 | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.61 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…1fdbbacked 500 | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked OG | 34c | 99.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 849 | 37.8%321 W · 528 L | -20.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fc…92f6backed OG | 79c | 97.86$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.3wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed 500 | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b1…c973backed OG | 61c | 90.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked 500 | 29c | 86.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.06 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked 500 | 30c | 85.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked 500 | 35c | 84.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b6…a23ebacked OG | 72c | 83.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…7e25backed 500 | 54c | 82.39$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b7…65a3backed 500 | 32c | 79.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…842cbacked 500 | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0502…62bbbacked OG | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…0acbbacked 500 | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793b…362bbacked 500 | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…ad6abacked 500 | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed OG | 69c | 59.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070b…8bd3backed OG | 56c | 57.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed OG | 35c | 55.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d30…6b31backed 500 | 24c | 54.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…0793backed OG | 76c | 54.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked OG | 71c | 53.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed OG | 69c | 53.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…520cbacked 500 | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0691…3fe4backed OG | 71c | 45.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…a973backed 500 | 77c | 45.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +5.4wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: OG vs 500 (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: OG vs 500 - Map 1 WinnerOG won
- Counter-Strike: OG vs 500 - Map 2 Winner500 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.