Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Yellow Submarine (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c61cf7805759e4bd3444c70753ada6d8523148fd73ed6f1157d820527c1a591
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yellow Submarineof Zero Tenacity, Yellow Submarine
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb569…5695backed Zero Tenacity | 58c | 9,116$5,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,288.14 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed Zero Tenacity | 45c | 5,911$2,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Yellow Submarine | 47c | 5,268$2,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,803.11 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yellow Submarine | 49c | 4,857$2,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,473.8 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Yellow Submarine | 44c | 2,715$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.39 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Zero Tenacity | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 87 | 9.2%8 W · 79 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Zero Tenacity | 23c | 1,019$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.64 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Yellow Submarine | 54c | 784.91$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.12 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yellow Submarine | 51c | 733.72$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.46 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Yellow Submarine | 39c | 622.79$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.9 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yellow Submarine | 46c | 600$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.29 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…453cbacked Zero Tenacity | 56c | 548.99$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Zero Tenacity | 14c | 499.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63e1…802abacked Zero Tenacity | 3c | 493.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf7…0e79backed Yellow Submarine | 45c | 443.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.11 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb73b…7155backed Yellow Submarine | 69c | 400.04$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.81 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Zero Tenacity | 61c | 369.8$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.58 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd8…e1fbbacked Zero Tenacity | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Zero Tenacity | 59c | 320.37$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Zero Tenacity | 56c | 251.25$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Yellow Submarine | 75c | 230.16$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0f…45c3backed Yellow Submarine | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Yellow Submarine | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791b…029ebacked Zero Tenacity | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yellow Submarine | 51c | 187.9$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.41 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked Zero Tenacity | 54c | 186.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Zero Tenacity | 55c | 180.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd5…b24abacked Zero Tenacity | 57c | 173.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Yellow Submarine | 43c | 163.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.96 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 160$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed Yellow Submarine | 69c | 147.57$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Zero Tenacity | 46c | 135$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Yellow Submarine | 75c | 133.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Yellow Submarine | 66c | 121.87$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Yellow Submarine | 43c | 115$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Zero Tenacity | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Zero Tenacity | 45c | 107.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Zero Tenacity | 47c | 105.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yellow Submarine | 54c | 105$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd020…6394backed Zero Tenacity | 57c | 101.42$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Zero Tenacity | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Yellow Submarine | 41c | 87.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb56…d625backed Yellow Submarine | 46c | 71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Yellow Submarine | 71c | 70.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…8c2bbacked Yellow Submarine | 43c | 68.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yellow Submarine | 40c | 63.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Zero Tenacity | 45c | 52.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…07c0backed Yellow Submarine | 43c | 48.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…5cc1backed Zero Tenacity | 64c | 42.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…10dcbacked Yellow Submarine | 68c | 41.65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…9efebacked Yellow Submarine | 64c | 36.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed Yellow Submarine | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Zero Tenacity | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…0723backed Yellow Submarine | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…d8b7backed Yellow Submarine | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked Zero Tenacity | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 238 | 49.6%118 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Yellow Submarine | 50c | 25.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb818…e50abacked Zero Tenacity | 53c | 21.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Yellow Submarine | 73c | 20.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc105…d423backed Yellow Submarine | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Yellow Submarine (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 WinnerYellow Submarine won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.