Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc075a3a1510a43d0417d4b0320f384334629bfbc452c778e2af92ed8adabe7c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Team Falcons, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 15,151$7,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.5 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 10,439$7,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,252.77 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 6,141$2,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,582.82 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 5,275$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,453.97 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 5,179$2,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,342.96 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Team Falcons | 50c | 5,096$2,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560.74 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 3,997$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.05 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Falcons | 28c | 3,369$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.36 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Falcons | 42c | 3,272$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.83 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 3,000$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…e150backed Team Falcons | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Team Falcons | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.98 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Team Falcons | 69c | 2,133$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.44 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.16 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 2,100$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 2,083$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.83 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 1,815$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.31 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 1,622$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.06 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Team Falcons | 67c | 1,600$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 1,536$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.5 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Team Falcons | 70c | 1,418$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Team Falcons | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Falcons | 69c | 1,320$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.79 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 1,292$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.67 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed Team Falcons | 22c | 1,292$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.92 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 1,189$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.49 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Falcons | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked Team Falcons | 31c | 990.86$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 887.53$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.4 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 828.88$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.6 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Falcons | 51c | 789.86$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1391…6b3fbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 661.82$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.89 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 656$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.2 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 500$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Falcons | 68c | 493.31$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.52 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 449.93$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.15 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…96f1backed Team Falcons | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf858…37d0backed Team Falcons | 68c | 405$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e32…6e95backed Team Falcons | 9c | 395.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 392.43$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.22 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c6…85b9backed Team Falcons | 68c | 384.64$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 364.38$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.42 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons | 18c | 364.2$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 360$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Falcons | 48c | 360$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.6 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 353.58$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.84 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Team Falcons | 7c | 281.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 220.38$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.26 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…5e33backed Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 207.43$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…2ecdbacked Team Falcons | 18c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa2…0006backed Team Falcons | 8c | 194.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb73b…7155backed Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 190.63$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…5895backed Team Falcons | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Team Falcons | 11c | 179.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc85d…6832backed Team Falcons | 12c | 178.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3a…2a90backed Team Falcons | 43c | 161.46$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2a…384dbacked Team Falcons | 34c | 159.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 153.56$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.38 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Falcons | 26c | 146.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Team Falcons | 67c | 139.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…090dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 133.1$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Falcons | 17c | 132.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 125.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Team Falcons | 33c | 107.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb718…dde1backed Team Falcons | 50c | 106$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…a973backed Team Falcons | 70c | 105.71$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Team Falcons | 63c | 102.77$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.77 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Team Falcons | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.18 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…5473backed Team Falcons | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…c2eabacked Team Falcons | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…4322backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 97.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…9194backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0186…1e2cbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 92.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…8d9abacked Team Falcons | 43c | 92.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…7477backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 90.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Team Falcons | 67c | 90$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.19 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…122cbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 84.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -10.2wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0b82…9c30backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Team Falcons | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…4a71backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 80$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 78.48$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4218…8b6cbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 73.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x004c…7052backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 67.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 65.76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…e99bbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 63.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 54.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Team Falcons | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…576bbacked Team Falcons | 21c | 49.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 49.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c7…133dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x521a…4b39backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…bf01backed Team Falcons | 72c | 33.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…a54cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 32.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)Xtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.