Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcdd3cce2290e1a6a51cf8d24124eb62b96d2806e4ca0d834d072be9459875aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Team Falcons, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29f9…e310backed Team Falcons | 61c | 18,119$11,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,140.63 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 12,246$5,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,648.67 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 8,523$4,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,832.36 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 7,425$5,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.17 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 6,883$3,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,705.94 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked Team Falcons | 51c | 4,400$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.49 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 3,555$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.5 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Team Falcons | 3c | 3,300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 87 | 9.2%8 W · 79 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.8 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Team Falcons | 70c | 2,800$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Team Falcons | 68c | 2,338$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.84 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 2,200$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.53 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 2,158$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.59 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 2,100$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Falcons | 51c | 2,054$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.88 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Team Falcons | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 1,957$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.17 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 1,378$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.22 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 1,370$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.7 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 1,262$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.33 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Team Falcons | 6c | 1,200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc459…7b3fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.86 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 1,123$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.03 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.63 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Team Falcons | 6c | 1,000$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 61 | 3.3%2 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -61%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 972.53$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.18 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 867.76$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.04 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked Team Falcons | 41c | 853.66$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 812.67$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.78 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Team Falcons | 66c | 760.57$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 742.61$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.83 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…83b0backed Team Falcons | 72c | 726.53$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 710.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.94 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 600$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.8 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Xtreme Gaming | 28c | 576.64$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.18 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 565.89$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.45 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 558.6$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1391…6b3fbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 550$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.5 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Team Falcons | 41c | 532.44$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 532.15$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.15 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 499.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c61…470fbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 487.68$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Falcons | 53c | 458.22$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.86 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Team Falcons | 44c | 457.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55e…c136backed Team Falcons | 59c | 410$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.4 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Falcons | 70c | 405.43$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.8 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 400$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Team Falcons | 6c | 399.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd892…f6d9backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 396.43$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 340.6$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.83 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf858…37d0backed Team Falcons | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Team Falcons | 71c | 283.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Team Falcons | 72c | 279.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…de95backed Team Falcons | 79c | 252.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 233.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.85 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…5a30backed Team Falcons | 20c | 213.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Team Falcons | 32c | 201.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.29 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Falcons | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Team Falcons | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…5d10backed Team Falcons | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…5e33backed Team Falcons | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Team Falcons | 68c | 187.5$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Xtreme Gaming | 28c | 178.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.2 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Falcons | 69c | 173.91$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 172.75$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 154.29$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.29 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…7345backed Team Falcons | 13c | 141$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Team Falcons | 37c | 140$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 139.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 267 | 41.9%112 W · 155 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…358ebacked Team Falcons | 70c | 139.43$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e7…4152backed Team Falcons | 40c | 130$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Team Falcons | 69c | 130$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 125.74$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.74 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…d755backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 115.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.44 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…f6b4backed Team Falcons | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Team Falcons | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fac…bdd8backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Falcons | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…c018backed Team Falcons | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 95.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…ef23backed Team Falcons | 65c | 90.51$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 87.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f30…7c0fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 85.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Team Falcons | 59c | 81.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…103cbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 80.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 74.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…4a71backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 61.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Team Falcons | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…b253backed Team Falcons | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…778fbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 59.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Falcons | 71c | 58.47$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…1fd5backed Team Falcons | 57c | 54.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…8519backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaef…db07backed Team Falcons | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)Xtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.