CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs CyberDynamo (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd7f2ebd0453c3c8dbe8bd287425864a7afe17aa2f2a746c96562773194654f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Shadowkekof Team Shadowkek, CyberDynamo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Shadowkek | 31c | 3,333$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,312.87 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…fdd3backed CyberDynamo | 77c | 3,330$2,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,567.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed CyberDynamo | 69c | 2,066$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.36 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Team Shadowkek | 51c | 1,242$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.23 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed CyberDynamo | 59c | 960$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.2 | 101 | 67.3%68 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d4…e1d2backed Team Shadowkek | 66c | 902.26$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.57 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed CyberDynamo | 56c | 811.24$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Team Shadowkek | 19c | 792.34$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.89 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb73b…7155backed CyberDynamo | 77c | 651.26$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked CyberDynamo | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed Team Shadowkek | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked CyberDynamo | 67c | 291.69$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.43 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791b…029ebacked Team Shadowkek | 43c | 232.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.73 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Shadowkek | 28c | 209.74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.01 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…b287backed Team Shadowkek | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec1…5c2ebacked CyberDynamo | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Team Shadowkek | 44c | 190.9$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.59 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed Team Shadowkek | 28c | 180.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.77 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…9200backed CyberDynamo | 56c | 175$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Team Shadowkek | 11c | 154.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.48 | 77 | 6.5%5 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Team Shadowkek | 36c | 144.44$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.44 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Shadowkek | 25c | 127.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Team Shadowkek | 34c | 116.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.88 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…9efebacked Team Shadowkek | 44c | 106.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…7ab1backed CyberDynamo | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdce…1588backed Team Shadowkek | 35c | 84.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +581.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa45…bbbebacked CyberDynamo | 79c | 66.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Team Shadowkek | 56c | 58.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Shadowkek | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Team Shadowkek | 33c | 40.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…9f1bbacked Team Shadowkek | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4e…2224backed CyberDynamo | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed CyberDynamo | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Team Shadowkek | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc484…af66backed CyberDynamo | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed CyberDynamo | 59c | 20.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs CyberDynamo (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs CyberDynamo - Map 2 WinnerTeam Shadowkek won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.