Euroleague · resolved market
Real Madrid vs. Zalgiris Kaunas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f41b99febd22d623f8998bcf0f62ef7292754c215640e1dc6aee2f05dfbd192
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Madridof Real Madrid, Zalgiris Kaunas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Real Madrid | 78c | 8,756$6,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.14 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 24c | 5,985$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Real Madrid | 77c | 1,676$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.15 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Real Madrid | 74c | 1,395$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.14 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Real Madrid | 73c | 1,011$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.89 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 23c | 999.63$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.39 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…d9f0backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 29c | 862.07$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 22c | 724.79$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 39c | 700$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1f…1224backed Real Madrid | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 29c | 436.26$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 19c | 401$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Real Madrid | 70c | 339.97$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.57 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Real Madrid | 61c | 313.81$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.93 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…9ff6backed Real Madrid | 77c | 311.24$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3844…e714backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 17c | 297.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 27c | 263.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 25c | 225$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 26c | 222$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 27c | 214$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Real Madrid | 78c | 207$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 20c | 187.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b6…48cabacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…55b0backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 29c | 168.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…9639backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 33c | 159.82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 26c | 151.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e71…7a6bbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 26c | 149.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea9…10febacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 22c | 133.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Real Madrid | 75c | 125.63$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Real Madrid | 68c | 125$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Real Madrid | 74c | 109.63$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +69%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Real Madrid | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Real Madrid | 62c | 91.22$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Real Madrid | 75c | 89$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Real Madrid | 71c | 83.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 25c | 79.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 27c | 77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Real Madrid | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8f…182abacked Real Madrid | 76c | 69.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb9…d7ddbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 22c | 67.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1170…8398backed Real Madrid | 76c | 65.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 71cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4540…dc3abacked Real Madrid | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8747…8b5dbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 28c | 62.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 24c | 62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…b5b0backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed Real Madrid | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Real Madrid | 75c | 56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fd…104ebacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 38c | 55.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Real Madrid | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…5655backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Real Madrid | 71c | 28.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84e6…d1dcbacked Real Madrid | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…94b2backed Real Madrid | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…a236backed Real Madrid | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Real Madrid | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5585…16b7backed Real Madrid | 76c | 18.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.