TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

BLAST.tv Austin Major: MOUZ vs. Vitality

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vitalityof MOUZ, Vitality
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$119,840
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,504

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,840 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3151…0977backed Vitality78c20,006$15,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,362.181984.2%16 W · 3 L+4.6wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+36.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Vitality71c12,426$8,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,593.5811654.3%63 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6e9…831abacked MOUZ28c10,865$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.953336.4%12 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb49c…c94dbacked MOUZ29c9,614$2,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,788.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33f2…4e69backed MOUZ36c8,480$3,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,089.46728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Vitality72c6,654$4,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,863.158654.7%47 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf557…18debacked MOUZ40c6,127$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4504346.5%20 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ38c5,159$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,952.341,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked MOUZ28c5,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.9916033.8%54 W · 106 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Vitality60c4,462$2,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,776.2316357.1%93 W · 70 L+14.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Vitality73c4,145$3,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.254257.1%24 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Vitality73c3,383$2,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.669647.9%46 W · 50 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb6…c6b0backed MOUZ29c3,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcadd…200bbacked Vitality74c2,983$2,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.553542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52ad…337dbacked MOUZ27c2,792$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.812133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf747…f687backed Vitality73c2,754$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.522138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a6f…4999backed Vitality74c2,524$1,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.484862.5%30 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed MOUZ27c2,524$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.3945848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfeec…aa69backed MOUZ25c2,500$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6256842.6%29 W · 39 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked MOUZ17c2,150$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.66119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick24cpaid-81.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Vitality66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6802441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed MOUZ22c1,711$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.933724.3%9 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed MOUZ36c1,697$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.523355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed MOUZ19c1,615$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021251.4%109 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b71…bbf5backed MOUZ29c1,590$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+86.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcae7…e1b7backed Vitality72c1,557$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.975940.7%24 W · 35 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6cca…0a6cbacked Vitality69c1,400$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4322100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Vitality72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.8919660.7%119 W · 77 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-7.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a37…869bbacked Vitality73c1,379$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.227552%39 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Vitality67c1,119$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.9610252%53 W · 49 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x853d…f8d4backed MOUZ24c1,100$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac53…6133backed MOUZ28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed MOUZ29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29036751%187 W · 180 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed MOUZ37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37018650%93 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked MOUZ30c996.67$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29952837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed Vitality72c990$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.22740.7%11 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-39.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b45…7f58backed MOUZ36c862.86$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.763531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7514…49bebacked MOUZ36c830.75$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.2331758%184 W · 133 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80b1…f64abacked MOUZ14c793.6$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed MOUZ8c707.64$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9413532.6%44 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc09…9d12backed MOUZ24c701.75$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda10…ffeabacked Vitality73c694.56$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.539552.6%50 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9f2…0c24backed MOUZ29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Vitality70c652.7$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.526144.3%27 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Vitality77c612.98$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.310348.5%50 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d4e…edb0backed MOUZ12c513.73$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebed…97bebacked MOUZ5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x288a…4275backed Vitality73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1354351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed MOUZ27c407.55$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0942057.1%240 W · 180 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Vitality62c405.26$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.919542.1%40 W · 55 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+63.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x40d5…bfe9backed Vitality70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12063345.2%286 W · 347 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Vitality61c399.98$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.9911044.5%49 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x175b…93aebacked MOUZ28c360$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.814142.6%60 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb92f…566bbacked MOUZ28c354.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006956.5%39 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x087b…0de7backed MOUZ29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f78…68a4backed MOUZ29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100854.7%4 W · 81 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick15cpaid-84.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc9b0…4f5cbacked MOUZ29c331.03$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968736.8%32 W · 55 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25ad…fd8cbacked Vitality73c329.02$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.77450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebf2…a34fbacked Vitality72c313.71$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.843100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Vitality66c304.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5513146.6%61 W · 70 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed MOUZ13c301.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9117236%62 W · 110 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa856…3964backed MOUZ34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022242.8%95 W · 127 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c5b…50c9backed MOUZ12c262.17$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.464736.2%17 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13e4…5883backed MOUZ9c260$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.06714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-54.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Vitality63c232$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8435341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Vitality71c222$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.381,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcbe…ee8dbacked MOUZ29c208.6$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.491145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick38cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc70e…7cd6backed Vitality65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c96…f26abacked Vitality72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564367.4%29 W · 14 L+5.7wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+22.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa910…0777backed Vitality72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d0…0a19backed Vitality64c200$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed MOUZ20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1361…8de1backed Vitality73c195.77$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.86475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x331a…ff18backed MOUZ28c178.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.957841%32 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…c791backed MOUZ28c175$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495644.6%25 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+27.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Vitality72c174$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.723369.7%23 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x063b…7d47backed Vitality73c171.1$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.22972.4%21 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfa4…b818backed Vitality67c166.6$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x358e…b0ccbacked MOUZ29c159.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.12540%10 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca0e…64f7backed MOUZ28c158.33$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4560%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdaae…ee3cbacked MOUZ7c150$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-42.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05c9…271bbacked MOUZ29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409848%47 W · 51 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79e9…e20fbacked Vitality63c130.54$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bdd…c8adbacked MOUZ39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf105…ab49backed MOUZ29c120.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-58%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked MOUZ28c116$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.924943.8%109 W · 140 L-1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0cc…a633backed MOUZ40c111.8$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3869…2d67backed MOUZ29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea8…9e5fbacked Vitality62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x213e…5e0fbacked MOUZ12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe117…0b8dbacked MOUZ30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-33.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3c0…c87cbacked MOUZ28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-55.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed MOUZ27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2714540.7%59 W · 86 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7430…6139backed MOUZ28c99.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x255e…4979backed Vitality63c95.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.24425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d99…c98bbacked Vitality74c94.03$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.451540%6 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x08ce…b717backed Vitality76c93.76$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.52268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f7b…8927backed MOUZ41c86.37$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.41850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5be2…8fa3backed Vitality73c84.81$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.921762.7%136 W · 81 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed MOUZ29c78.17$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6758961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.