Serie A · resolved market
Will Juventus win the Serie A?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a9ececdb52d5bb1d70780199610060207bd80bfdad40234adf069f1d7a11667
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,373,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,068,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,373,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc39…6978backed Yes | 3c | 588,500$15,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,284.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1133…28f7backed Yes | 3c | 583,000$15,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,158.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa3…d39dbacked Yes | 3c | 572,000$15,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,444 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…9697backed Yes | 3c | 562,500$14,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,582.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6042…d31ebacked Yes | 3c | 556,500$14,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,469 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…57cebacked Yes | 3c | 550,000$13,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf63f…99c1backed Yes | 2c | 550,000$13,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,749.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadac…9c10backed Yes | 3c | 546,000$14,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,742 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd8…87c6backed Yes | 3c | 530,000$13,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,780 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…d2d3backed Yes | 3c | 529,000$15,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,870 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…4ff0backed Yes | 3c | 506,000$15,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40c9…048cbacked Yes | 3c | 503,500$13,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,091 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d40…010dbacked Yes | 3c | 416,000$11,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,232 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46c6…b81fbacked Yes | 3c | 416,000$11,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,232 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ec…b1b0backed Yes | 3c | 162,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…474abacked Yes | 3c | 162,000$4,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,212 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…4c1dbacked Yes | 3c | 135,000$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…63cfbacked Yes | 3c | 135,000$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1017…21bfbacked Yes | 3c | 135,000$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…4dd3backed Yes | 3c | 135,000$3,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,375 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe189…f9a5backed Yes | 3c | 135,000$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f8…c08dbacked Yes | 3c | 135,000$3,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,375 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…266fbacked Yes | 3c | 130,000$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…5d7ebacked Yes | 3c | 108,000$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,808 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…6c23backed Yes | 3c | 108,000$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,808 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c43…2b96backed Yes | 3c | 108,000$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,808 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…8e09backed Yes | 3c | 108,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1a…6392backed Yes | 3c | 104,000$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,808 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c58…3e41backed Yes | 3c | 104,000$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,808 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…127ebacked Yes | 3c | 104,000$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,808 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb008…40e5backed Yes | 3c | 81,000$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…e8f2backed Yes | 3c | 81,000$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…6e2fbacked Yes | 3c | 77,071$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c89…80f4backed Yes | 3c | 77,061$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbef…aaaabacked Yes | 1c | 64,400$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c1…d30fbacked Yes | 1c | 55,200$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 44,961$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.73 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 1c | 30,895$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe425…6155backed Yes | 1c | 30,200$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 25,888$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.73 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Yes | 2c | 19,579$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39ef…d568backed Yes | 6c | 16,823$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 2c | 16,552$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.95 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 1c | 14,434$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…65e8backed Yes | 1c | 13,300$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…e3b6backed Yes | 3c | 11,102$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.04 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 1c | 9,591$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 8,823$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes | 3c | 7,976$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.17 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 10c | 7,228$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.2 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 1c | 6,967$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e79…c357backed Yes | 1c | 4,923$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…f47bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,500$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe121…9f3bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,323$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 3c | 3,742$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 22cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 12c | 3,681$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.9 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 3,523$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a26…eb2cbacked Yes | 4c | 3,054$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…26b9backed Yes | 1c | 2,937$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 2c | 2,680$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 2c | 2,475$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…cfc6backed Yes | 1c | 1,831$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…fbc7backed Yes | 2c | 1,714$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b85…4be3backed Yes | 2c | 1,560$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 12c | 1,419$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4707…7e5bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,371$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4833…695ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,331$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d59…f80dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,305$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e90…b6b1backed Yes | 4c | 1,233$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f9…004dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,044$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 978.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3596…6c81backed Yes | 2c | 936.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3a98backed Yes | 4c | 912.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 2c | 875$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2d…77bdbacked Yes | 13c | 796.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d19…7cafbacked Yes | 8c | 791.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…e325backed Yes | 4c | 688.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd39d…71c7backed Yes | 8c | 658.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…757abacked Yes | 3c | 611.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 5c | 607.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed Yes | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…2114backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08dc…6ef8backed Yes | 4c | 471.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b49…e6d3backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0934…f376backed Yes | 3c | 400$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb8…af02backed Yes | 9c | 400$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6613…144abacked Yes | 8c | 375.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…c911backed Yes | 3c | 367.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x369b…5129backed Yes | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 4c | 296.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…dd5cbacked Yes | 9c | 286.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 11c | 283.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +8.7wins | +0.24per pick | 15cpaid | +1,305.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 6c | 277.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 9c | 250.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +46%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ba…46c6backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…0e5bbacked Yes | 10c | 195.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c65…8291backed Yes | 9c | 184.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa74…78b9backed Yes | 9c | 127.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3058…5412backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0388…7d66backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Juventus win the Serie A?this page
- Will AC Milan win the Serie A?No won
- Will AS Roma win the Serie A?No won
- Will Atalanta win the Serie A?No won
- Will Fiorentina win the Serie A?No won
- Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?No won
- Will Lazio win the Serie A?No won
- Will Napoli win the Serie A?Yes won
- Will Torino win the Serie A?No won
- Will another team win the Serie A?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.