Fifa International · resolved market
Will France beat Croatia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c680303a517580286b39f54c8c00aced80f7dd3ee16a84527c756ad14618eed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb377…f621backed No | 53c | 5,566$2,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 47c | 4,212$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 48c | 3,685$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.82 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 52c | 3,656$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.9 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 52c | 3,362$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.37 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 50c | 3,047$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1acb…87b4backed Yes | 1c | 2,598$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 48c | 2,510$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked Yes | 46c | 1,910$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aee…6760backed Yes | 49c | 1,725$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc6…bef1backed No | 54c | 1,386$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +201.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 52c | 1,370$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.57 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 57c | 1,262$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.66 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 51c | 1,154$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54df…3449backed No | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 47c | 1,025$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.63 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 49c | 1,015$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 69c | 1,011$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.75 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac7…2e33backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Yes | 48c | 925.76$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked No | 52c | 865$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Yes | 11c | 815.63$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 50c | 794.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1090…7e3fbacked No | 54c | 710$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…d1a1backed Yes | 46c | 710$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 51c | 674.45$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.73 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +11.1wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x599d…6c15backed Yes | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cc…de2dbacked No | 51c | 625$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 48c | 500.57$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.14 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe37a…6fa4backed No | 53c | 490$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b9…afeabacked Yes | 46c | 460$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…0eccbacked No | 54c | 460$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ba…f0b2backed Yes | 46c | 450$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x670c…9a40backed Yes | 46c | 450$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec99…ae7dbacked No | 54c | 450$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…86b2backed No | 54c | 450$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa279…710cbacked Yes | 49c | 428.2$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 52c | 420.46$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.73 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa3…5778backed Yes | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb512…13b6backed Yes | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…0a7bbacked No | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9664…bc63backed No | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecce…1a83backed No | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa102…e6e6backed Yes | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 52c | 399.97$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.69 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a17…dd9ebacked Yes | 46c | 370$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d4…c467backed No | 54c | 370$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 52c | 355.2$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.19 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 47c | 332.77$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.4 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -6.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x50d9…7c7abacked No | 54c | 310$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc86…3993backed Yes | 46c | 310$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x050a…a339backed Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5c…d2d8backed Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cda…6e62backed No | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc12e…3b11backed Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9470…c8b5backed No | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e90…54edbacked Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5b…14aebacked No | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bde…b1debacked No | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9eb…8be1backed Yes | 50c | 299.34$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 78c | 294.19$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Yes | 51c | 287.68$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.72 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa94e…c540backed No | 53c | 275$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf745…d12cbacked Yes | 48c | 270.52$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04fb…487fbacked Yes | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ed…288abacked Yes | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaec…49c1backed No | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449d…83f5backed No | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f00…ee40backed No | 54c | 230$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ec…6cbdbacked No | 54c | 230$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006b…b07dbacked Yes | 46c | 230$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…9431backed Yes | 46c | 230$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2f…abccbacked Yes | 46c | 230$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…724dbacked No | 54c | 230$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfc…80a5backed Yes | 52c | 207.69$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x052f…fcdebacked Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe811…33d9backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 49c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa763…f4d7backed No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…6f99backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x642f…63d1backed No | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…aaa7backed Yes | 45c | 180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c2…7115backed Yes | 45c | 170$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd6…6b78backed No | 55c | 170$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…f427backed Yes | 50c | 168$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ce…8520backed Yes | 49c | 161.22$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…7713backed No | 55c | 160$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b73…fa48backed Yes | 45c | 160$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1323…f874backed Yes | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2f…f7a0backed Yes | 45c | 160$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa161…95dabacked No | 55c | 160$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…5d25backed No | 56c | 160$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906d…34a4backed Yes | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c68…34c6backed Yes | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc15d…6186backed Yes | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…8b81backed No | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will France beat Croatia?this page
- Will Croatia beat France?Yes won
- Will Croatia vs France end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.