TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Croatia beat France?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,385
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,623

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,385 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc6ab…5eb9backed No79c6,329$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick70cpaid-68.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes21c3,844$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,036.2317345.7%79 W · 94 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes28c2,570$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,850.410748.6%52 W · 55 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No35c1,494$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.345251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf2d…673fbacked No79c1,320$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Yes21c1,089$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.11955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes41c1,076$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.328133.1%93 W · 188 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacc6…bef1backed Yes23c990.97$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.043100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+201.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes41c916.67$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.918855.7%49 W · 39 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+27.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes23c875.14$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.9916244.4%72 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes70c804.99$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24217050.6%86 W · 84 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes22c666.23$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51910548.6%51 W · 54 L+11.1wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x5236…6b6bbacked No75c500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc5…e714backed Yes25c500$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3751100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x867d…ccfdbacked Yes25c410$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a86…ecfbbacked Yes25c410$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec02…6f98backed No75c410$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf467…706cbacked No75c410$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb32d…001ebacked No73c400$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda8e…e741backed Yes27c400$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2921100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb8e…8500backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9278…cdb0backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5742…4af6backed No75c400$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa72d…a776backed No75c400$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No77c376.57$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.5142352%220 W · 203 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f8c…462cbacked No80c376.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa911…9f8abacked Yes25c355$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f0f…a20bbacked No78c321$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa941…b0febacked Yes25c290$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55e4…1248backed Yes25c275$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1225…3a54backed Yes25c265$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a91…a66bbacked Yes25c260$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1952100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+176.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec2c…959abacked Yes25c240$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1802100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+165.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9eae…4feebacked No77c170.36$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f9c…6b2fbacked No73c170$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a9…8020backed Yes27c170$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe311…f555backed Yes25c145$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+178.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c10…3edcbacked No75c135$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd225…c3d4backed No75c135$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f4…90f7backed No75c135$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83da…41f7backed No76c130.89$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.48955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+62.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d9c…503bbacked No77c120$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.420%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No76c117$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.535848.3%173 W · 185 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04a6…a1cebacked No75c115$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb6b…a620backed No75c110$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218347%39 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4de3…2e8ebacked No75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed No78c100$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick76cpaid-56.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No74c99.46$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.611259.8%67 W · 45 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf557…9cb4backed No75c95$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa868…58dfbacked No75c95$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacad…3a3abacked No75c90$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa88e…ab79backed No75c90$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9129…532fbacked No75c90$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb0f…89dfbacked No75c90$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93c6…d8a5backed Yes25c85$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.753100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+135.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1430…a2fbbacked No75c85$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked No73c83$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.591154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick70cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Yes24c79.73$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.263528.6%10 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x09ba…8581backed No75c75$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x138e…42b4backed No56c74$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.541154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4534…7f60backed No75c65$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No77c64.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507950.6%40 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd09…6f2cbacked No75c55$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick67cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x608b…7598backed No75c55$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Yes44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284936.7%18 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ada…1f1bbacked No75c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.38per pick72cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed No52c49.2$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.583528.6%10 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x000b…e5dbbacked Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+194.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x806a…6f54backed No75c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b83…970dbacked No75c35$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef9…c97bbacked No75c35$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed No76c32.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252352.2%12 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-20%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6153…f958backed No75c26.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8aa…58e5backed No75c25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e92…77d2backed No75c25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick67cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d06…d484backed No75c25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1d8…dfd8backed No75c25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cc6…30cfbacked No75c25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed No75c23.79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.841729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No76c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.228148.4%136 W · 145 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28b1…6395backed No75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc22a…4a3ebacked No75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No76c19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.449547.4%45 W · 50 L-8.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3dd8…5ddcbacked No75c18.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1440%0 W · 4 L-2.9wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5769…a5dabacked No80c17.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No77c17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0920245.5%92 W · 110 L-13.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f39…7043backed No75c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.