South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1df8bef0f0b258869495fc0bbc7fed0c06fa17beab5e6e23566f117194874df5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa796…82fdbacked Yes | 49c | 22,410$10,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,429.23 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed No | 54c | 14,000$7,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,520.3 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed No | 51c | 12,000$6,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,120 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +6.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Yes | 46c | 5,891$2,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,169.19 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Yes | 47c | 3,895$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.21 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 51c | 3,583$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.31 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 48c | 2,500$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.39 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 51c | 1,280$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.46 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 51c | 1,116$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.64 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…bf0fbacked Yes | 46c | 1,082$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed No | 51c | 1,081$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 46c | 649.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.34 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 46c | 619.01$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.05 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 51c | 536.36$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.54 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 46c | 432.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.89 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes | 54c | 370.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.94 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 49c | 346.93$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.44 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 46c | 337.93$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.87 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Yes | 46c | 290$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.02 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 47c | 267$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.04 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 45c | 220.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdea…c050backed Yes | 55c | 182.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.48 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7de…2b59backed Yes | 53c | 140$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 49c | 134.89$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.74 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Yes | 40c | 125.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.13 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f1…4420backed Yes | 46c | 108.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 17c | 103.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f44…1c0bbacked Yes | 45c | 101.36$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed No | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Yes | 63c | 95.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 51c | 87.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 45c | 82.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 27c | 82.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 46c | 75.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 51c | 72.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 39c | 68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 50c | 66.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed No | 44c | 65.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4d…2651backed No | 46c | 65.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 47c | 63.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 50c | 62.02$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 49c | 62.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed No | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 55c | 58.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 40c | 57.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 47c | 56.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba4…1528backed Yes | 55c | 54.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 50c | 52.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce6…f2e7backed Yes | 41c | 49.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 45c | 40.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc76d…cbcbbacked Yes | 57c | 38.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf926…d032backed Yes | 53c | 37.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x166e…3303backed Yes | 51c | 37.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa2…fecdbacked Yes | 52c | 37.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9b…e768backed Yes | 51c | 33.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Yes | 54c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 50c | 30.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…6461backed Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe73c…dd15backed No | 44c | 29.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed Yes | 52c | 29.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99f…0d86backed Yes | 55c | 27.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b8…6253backed Yes | 56c | 26.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 46c | 25.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 50c | 20.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb6…8cdebacked Yes | 51c | 19.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 71c | 14.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2f…ba60backed No | 74c | 14.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.