Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul: Tuncay Duran vs Franco Agamenone
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea00ac8c021713f0a0cfcb35e27b2b17fbb3fb844480f78481a47670ed72e8f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Franco Agamenoneof Tuncay Duran, Franco Agamenone
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f89…19dfbacked Tuncay Duran | 18c | 7,413$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Tuncay Duran | 20c | 3,718$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tuncay Duran | 14c | 1,255$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.89 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Franco Agamenone | 79c | 800$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Tuncay Duran | 18c | 751.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.15 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Tuncay Duran | 2c | 705.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Tuncay Duran | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Tuncay Duran | 18c | 422.87$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.12 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Tuncay Duran | 16c | 401.2$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Tuncay Duran | 18c | 372.73$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.09 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Tuncay Duran | 15c | 341.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Tuncay Duran | 8c | 333.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Tuncay Duran | 15c | 332.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Tuncay Duran | 9c | 305.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Tuncay Duran | 16c | 164.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Tuncay Duran | 12c | 145.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…b20ebacked Tuncay Duran | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9b…e768backed Tuncay Duran | 10c | 122.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a0…3a2fbacked Tuncay Duran | 17c | 120.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Tuncay Duran | 16c | 100.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tuncay Duran | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Franco Agamenone | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Tuncay Duran | 17c | 99.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Tuncay Duran | 12c | 85.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Tuncay Duran | 16c | 68.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Franco Agamenone | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7718…2252backed Franco Agamenone | 80c | 17.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Franco Agamenone | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.