NFL · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Buccaneers: O/U 44.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x694fb9ff47108eadff74b14f3b9f14b4cb7f29ecfa7a9b5005e510afa1dfae13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $236,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $239,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 51c | 150,788$76,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,132.79 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Over | 51c | 47,624$24,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,173.67 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,300 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 50c | 27,468$13,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,734 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 23,928$11,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,880.05 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Over | 49c | 14,961$7,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,331 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Over | 49c | 13,030$6,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,384.7 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Over | 49c | 13,000$6,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,370 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 8,655$4,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,288.25 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.99 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 48c | 7,534$3,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,616.13 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Over | 49c | 7,038$3,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,436.14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 51c | 6,612$3,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240.05 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…adbfbacked Over | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e22…3993backed Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Over | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Over | 49c | 3,134$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.54 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Over | 49c | 3,069$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.62 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Under | 48c | 3,000$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.98 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 2,437$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.13 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Over | 49c | 2,055$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007 | 208 | 51%106 W · 102 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 49c | 2,035$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.05 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 52c | 1,500$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.77 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f0…1e82backed Under | 50c | 1,261$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.78 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…f7febacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 48c | 951.12$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.95 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Over | 49c | 862.94$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.84 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…8712backed Over | 49c | 673.47$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 49c | 598.82$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.07 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 49c | 591$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.59 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 49c | 508$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.64 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 47c | 500.4$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.21 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Over | 55c | 444.44$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.44 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 45c | 440$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 49c | 224.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…4c69backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4938…02a1backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf04c…bdf3backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c5…378abacked Over | 50c | 198.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +49%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…6825backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -12.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Over | 51c | 175$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Under | 45c | 168$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Over | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…ce17backed Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Over | 51c | 119.06$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Over | 55c | 110.18$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a8…0cecbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a50…c1e5backed Over | 52c | 100.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f69…c7a2backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…65efbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…643ebacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x990b…7ac3backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a26…8a2dbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee2f…7677backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…6ea7backed Over | 51c | 81.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c38…dbf9backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Over | 53c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd3…c5f4backed Over | 52c | 68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05c7…a4e2backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a00…d9f7backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Over | 50c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffd…62d6backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Over | 50c | 49.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x097f…df92backed Over | 49c | 48.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Over | 53c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ff…ce6ebacked Over | 53c | 47.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x968e…7f34backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f6…f838backed Over | 52c | 46.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf995…307abacked Over | 52c | 46.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73dd…bc8abacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…1dccbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…3239backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ca…6e9abacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf9…086cbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x137b…2fd5backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…af71backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf581…0892backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Under | 49c | 30.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e86…5c9ebacked Under | 49c | 29.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cardinals vs. Buccaneers: O/U 44.5this page
- Cardinals vs. BuccaneersBuccaneers won
- Cardinals vs. Buccaneers: 1H MoneylineBuccaneers won
- Cardinals vs. Buccaneers: O/U 36.5Over won
- Cardinals vs. Buccaneers: O/U 43.5Under won
- Cardinals vs. Buccaneers: O/U 45.5Under won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)Buccaneers won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)Cardinals won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5)Cardinals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.