NFL · resolved market
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfabfb6bc5d01fc26b1cf9657f925f9b5ad2d7c0e925712b73fd02692f79d0e1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Buccaneersof Buccaneers, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Buccaneers | 52c | 11,799$6,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,648.83 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Cardinals | 48c | 10,392$4,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,988.3 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Cardinals | 41c | 7,211$2,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,956.38 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Buccaneers | 45c | 5,566$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,061.2 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Buccaneers | 59c | 4,295$2,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.03 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cardinals | 55c | 3,033$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.97 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cardinals | 55c | 3,003$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Cardinals | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Buccaneers | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Buccaneers | 62c | 1,982$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.16 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cardinals | 47c | 1,229$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.5 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Buccaneers | 61c | 821.31$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.31 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cardinals | 44c | 615.36$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.54 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Buccaneers | 45c | 589.72$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.17 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Cardinals | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Buccaneers | 62c | 497$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.86 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec30…f1aabacked Buccaneers | 62c | 482.26$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…1df2backed Buccaneers | 54c | 459.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Buccaneers | 57c | 218.87$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.21 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cardinals | 44c | 157$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.68 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Cardinals | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bc…c942backed Buccaneers | 60c | 123.42$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.37 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Buccaneers | 56c | 121.23$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6d…3779backed Cardinals | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…5435backed Cardinals | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Cardinals | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Cardinals | 39c | 62.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Buccaneers | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…f07bbacked Buccaneers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Buccaneers | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cardinals | 50c | 26.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…7a58backed Buccaneers | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)this page
- Cardinals vs. BuccaneersBuccaneers won
- Cardinals vs. Buccaneers: 1H MoneylineBuccaneers won
- Cardinals vs. Buccaneers: O/U 36.5Over won
- Cardinals vs. Buccaneers: O/U 43.5Under won
- Cardinals vs. Buccaneers: O/U 44.5Under won
- Cardinals vs. Buccaneers: O/U 45.5Under won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)Cardinals won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5)Cardinals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.