Us Politics · resolved market
Will Chuck Schumer vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b3b7e04eb5f6bc12035a63633a49917f11039cb00e20383b31fe50c7804fe27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 7c | 250$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 122 | 7.4%9 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 23c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 28c | 167.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 336 | 18.5%62 W · 274 L | -46.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 78c | 69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 75c | 66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 70c | 28.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa6…ee30backed No | 40c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3393…e6b3backed Yes | 60c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…06a2backed No | 53c | 21.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf56…ee5fbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 70c | 16.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +91%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chuck Schumer vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?this page
- Will Amy Klobuchar vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?No won
- Will Angus King vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?No won
- Will Bernie Sanders vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?No won
- Will Chris Coons vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?No won
- Will Chris Murphy vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?No won
- Will Dick Durbin vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?No won
- Will Jeanne Shaheen vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?No won
- Will John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?No won
- Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?No won
- Will Lisa Murkowski vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?No won
- Will Maggie Hassan vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?No won
- Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?No won
- Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?No won
- Will Patty Murray vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?No won
- Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?No won
- Will Rick Scott vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?No won
- Will Ron Johnson vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?No won
- Will Susan Collins vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?No won
- Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?No won
- Will Tim Kaine vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.