Tweets · resolved market
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45277c50eabe378787bf1edf8e204c8c9f175a029b492abe9dbcfc283cd7e65f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,862 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x087e…51c5backed Yes | 15c | 14,764$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Yes | 7c | 12,561$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.22 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9f…19b7backed Yes | 35c | 5,512$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adb…440abacked Yes | 48c | 5,471$2,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,609.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…0b00backed Yes | 13c | 5,382$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817f…bf28backed Yes | 25c | 3,626$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.34 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0073…4a07backed Yes | 14c | 3,447$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb280…35abbacked Yes | 13c | 3,343$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Yes | 11c | 2,761$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…7255backed Yes | 17c | 2,655$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.59 | 264 | 11.4%30 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9f…8876backed Yes | 13c | 2,328$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2138…f8a0backed No | 65c | 2,314$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Yes | 58c | 2,283$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.2 | 212 | 13.2%28 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f06…5873backed No | 20c | 2,279$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +149.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…34c3backed Yes | 8c | 2,121$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ca…9aacbacked Yes | 80c | 1,967$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc23…a56ebacked Yes | 71c | 1,924$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36fd…8982backed Yes | 6c | 1,900$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed Yes | 21c | 1,666$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.24 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a95…2551backed Yes | 12c | 1,660$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe391…94bbbacked Yes | 11c | 1,601$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4a…4896backed Yes | 11c | 1,535$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.34 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84c0backed Yes | 41c | 1,535$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.14 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2d…f77fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,514$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.29 | 99 | 19.2%19 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes | 10c | 1,445$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe853…f99cbacked No | 76c | 1,350$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa490…bf7ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,335$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8168…90e7backed No | 63c | 1,328$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.52 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…b94cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,325$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.33 | 137 | 18.2%25 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b69…2c0dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,125$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…754ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,104$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 69c | 1,081$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.51 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 12c | 1,068$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.17 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 11c | 1,028$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.52 | 272 | 7%19 W · 253 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…c831backed Yes | 10c | 1,019$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 83 | 20.5%17 W · 66 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b56…4ce7backed Yes | 14c | 990.92$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 75c | 985.48$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.81 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…5764backed Yes | 14c | 971.42$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ae…1206backed Yes | 9c | 946.56$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ea…998bbacked Yes | 6c | 944.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a44…d77bbacked Yes | 12c | 942.83$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 32c | 926.46$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.67 | 292 | 25%73 W · 219 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 75c | 875.17$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.69 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe685…f72cbacked Yes | 9c | 872.56$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdc…444dbacked Yes | 47c | 865.89$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3277…ec6dbacked Yes | 7c | 855$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789d…d3bbbacked Yes | 12c | 833.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…0c5ebacked Yes | 8c | 828.18$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +63%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ab…77a1backed Yes | 44c | 787.55$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…3b1ebacked Yes | 7c | 786.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 48 | 16.7%8 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cef…3d38backed Yes | 11c | 700$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…6d86backed Yes | 7c | 700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Yes | 23c | 694$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.62 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c1…32f7backed Yes | 15c | 653.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +138.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 12c | 650$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 552 | 5.6%31 W · 521 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 69c | 621.5$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.01 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff0f…902fbacked No | 68c | 595.96$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e9…cfb0backed Yes | 13c | 595.93$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfb…e887backed Yes | 10c | 585.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 15c | 574.9$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.99 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…da44backed Yes | 5c | 565.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ca05backed Yes | 13c | 563.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…b501backed Yes | 7c | 559.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 93 | 15.1%14 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1e…8136backed Yes | 12c | 556.73$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…9522backed Yes | 19c | 554.86$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.78 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…20f5backed Yes | 9c | 545.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f02…f85fbacked No | 24c | 537$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 74c | 510$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.6 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 38c | 504.83$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.15 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…6998backed No | 51c | 496.3$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a2…e94cbacked No | 34c | 450.71$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…a03cbacked Yes | 10c | 449.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…7c9bbacked Yes | 12c | 440$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0544…0436backed Yes | 7c | 435.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e13…d664backed Yes | 10c | 433.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…6286backed Yes | 13c | 427.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb012…0136backed Yes | 12c | 426.06$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 26c | 416.73$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.88 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8928…4887backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd897…9b49backed Yes | 12c | 413.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc45…2957backed Yes | 11c | 409.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253e…c70abacked No | 54c | 402.9$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…fbc5backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 12.2%11 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…ece3backed Yes | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…d20fbacked Yes | 9c | 400$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 99 | 11.1%11 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 9c | 400$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb26…4edfbacked Yes | 9c | 399.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 23c | 395.89$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.78 | 266 | 19.5%52 W · 214 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8b…560fbacked Yes | 12c | 388.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…615bbacked Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…6a28backed Yes | 8c | 376.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ed…49a5backed Yes | 14c | 362.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…124abacked Yes | 37c | 348.07$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.45 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 10c | 346.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d8…dfebbacked Yes | 15c | 344.66$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 25c | 337.82$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.37 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…5ec7backed No | 58c | 331.44$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +140%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…af18backed Yes | 62c | 328.58$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.54 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 10c | 322.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?this page
- Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes won
- Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.