Tweets · resolved market
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6aa4187ee38a259cd3daf55af211f41e6d58a0eefa3a07fbd97f1d4c096982b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,000 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4295…5b86backed Yes | 50c | 13,813$6,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,935.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Yes | 33c | 10,181$3,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,812.96 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 18c | 7,558$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.38 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +114.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Yes | 70c | 6,576$4,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984 | 107 | 27.1%29 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa131…22e8backed No | 13c | 3,321$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.47 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9f…19b7backed Yes | 69c | 2,486$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.53 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e46…8a07backed Yes | 77c | 2,316$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84c0backed Yes | 76c | 1,806$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.12 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc23…a56ebacked No | 67c | 1,570$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adb…440abacked Yes | 16c | 1,400$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2138…f8a0backed Yes | 73c | 1,175$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…e957backed No | 9c | 1,173$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…3637backed No | 12c | 1,127$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.31 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 20c | 1,100$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 83 | 20.5%17 W · 66 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f06…5873backed Yes | 37c | 906.41$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +149.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfca2…9488backed No | 13c | 900$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6d14backed Yes | 17c | 859.65$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…ea85backed No | 21c | 845.03$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817f…bf28backed Yes | 29c | 842.59$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.28 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78c3…7003backed No | 13c | 785.55$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…202abacked Yes | 57c | 760.32$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 80c | 750$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 14c | 728.02$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.58 | 272 | 7%19 W · 253 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked No | 10c | 645.72$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 31c | 605.72$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.1 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd897…9b49backed No | 13c | 599.76$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.57 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…5ec7backed Yes | 18c | 550.56$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +140%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 4c | 522$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 69c | 500$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.35 | 827 | 11%91 W · 736 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…b94cbacked No | 9c | 473.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 137 | 18.2%25 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…99b6backed No | 15c | 450$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20d…3feebacked Yes | 14c | 417.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +621%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 30c | 408.77$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.91 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 76c | 407.18$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.14 | 292 | 25%73 W · 219 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 52c | 399.99$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.04 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f4…8d04backed Yes | 19c | 380.54$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…6d1abacked No | 12c | 373.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ef…468bbacked No | 13c | 364.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1014…25f7backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +141.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 51c | 321.45$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.99 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e9…cfb0backed No | 14c | 311.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cef…3d38backed No | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0460…7268backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +190.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…da44backed Yes | 14c | 292.1$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.05 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a2…e94cbacked Yes | 19c | 291.17$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 21c | 288.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.17 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb7…dddbbacked Yes | 15c | 280$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +323.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2b…d581backed Yes | 36c | 275.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.59 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed No | 13c | 274.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e28…cf34backed Yes | 39c | 268.3$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.88 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 31c | 260.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.22 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 38c | 259.88$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.45 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 64c | 257.78$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.36 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed No | 69c | 254.92$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.96 | 212 | 13.2%28 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked No | 14c | 251$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 552 | 5.6%31 W · 521 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…9522backed Yes | 28c | 250.65$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.7 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…754ebacked No | 8c | 248.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 76c | 247.19$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.38 | 195 | 50.3%98 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9484…a173backed Yes | 23c | 241.52$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.62 | 400 | 16.8%67 W · 333 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912b…9156backed Yes | 39c | 229.75$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 8c | 227.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…124abacked Yes | 28c | 225.01$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.22 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cda…fe85backed Yes | 38c | 205.26$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0544…0436backed No | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed Yes | 33c | 200$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…7611backed No | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…799dbacked No | 15c | 192.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e33…b565backed No | 14c | 188.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 79c | 185.86$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.55 | 2,545 | 13.2%335 W · 2,210 L | +4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…6a28backed No | 13c | 171.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Yes | 16c | 156.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.84 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…af18backed No | 61c | 154.82$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.48 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70da…5f9dbacked Yes | 78c | 154.37$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2226…be82backed No | 13c | 154.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6c…6ed0backed No | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…e3febacked No | 12c | 148.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x563a…f578backed No | 12c | 148.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfb…ba4cbacked No | 15c | 145.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa963…5da5backed Yes | 54c | 135.84$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x409f…24e7backed Yes | 14c | 134.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +180.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4329…4e20backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60aa…717fbacked No | 9c | 126.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e7…7c61backed No | 8c | 125.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…edbdbacked No | 19c | 123.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b48…431fbacked No | 14c | 116$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…5764backed No | 12c | 113.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ca…82d1backed No | 11c | 111.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e7…e4b3backed No | 10c | 106.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 46c | 104.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.63 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…5066backed No | 28c | 103.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…b766backed Yes | 24c | 103.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.07 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e7…6065backed No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…3761backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b01…b6cebacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb02…05d7backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aac…e4d9backed No | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c0…38acbacked No | 12c | 98.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f81…0e93backed Yes | 26c | 97.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.19 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 63c | 84.71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?this page
- Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.