Us Politics · resolved market
Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41c9ea471e832676b9c67ef475dc7c978a5c3a1c5df4e5163431bec2d174c16f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $450,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $442,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $450,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe72…0fa3backed Yes | 29c | 15,500$4,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,557 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x552a…a6e5backed Yes | 15c | 13,870$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0873…09e8backed Yes | 0c | 13,332$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa2…18afbacked Yes | 18c | 12,498$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bf…b5e8backed Yes | 18c | 11,958$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…9163backed Yes | 27c | 10,300$2,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,791.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa156…014cbacked Yes | 26c | 10,284$2,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,694.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…df68backed Yes | 25c | 9,169$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc035…d3b9backed No | 71c | 8,200$5,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,410.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a14…655abacked Yes | 32c | 7,950$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,536.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…677fbacked No | 71c | 7,300$5,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9797backed Yes | 30c | 6,980$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd313…3befbacked No | 68c | 4,280$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6c…40f7backed Yes | 26c | 4,132$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…b9a6backed No | 70c | 3,950$2,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x428c…880fbacked No | 75c | 3,832$2,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2046…aa37backed No | 74c | 3,685$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…917ebacked No | 68c | 3,670$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f5…0718backed No | 73c | 3,650$2,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…c306backed No | 73c | 3,620$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cd…fda4backed No | 74c | 3,315$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab4…d1e5backed No | 74c | 3,284$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa002…e840backed Yes | 0c | 3,200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -71%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…c6c1backed No | 70c | 3,030$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa0…5601backed No | 73c | 3,030$2,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…0bf9backed No | 75c | 2,952$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48c4…60f3backed No | 75c | 2,385$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 71c | 2,215$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.64 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5725…36e3backed Yes | 4c | 2,184$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.33 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd059…2a48backed Yes | 18c | 1,901$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 17c | 1,677$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.79 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 6cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 22c | 1,561$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.63 | 94 | 3.2%3 W · 91 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…920ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,501$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be3…7180backed Yes | 30c | 1,494$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccc…252fbacked Yes | 30c | 1,480$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd183…ebffbacked Yes | 30c | 1,440$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff3…009cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,345$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37cc…c07abacked Yes | 8c | 1,306$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…a00fbacked No | 69c | 1,200$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc2…5a6bbacked No | 69c | 1,200$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x291d…67f9backed No | 69c | 1,200$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed Yes | 16c | 1,178$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 12c | 1,148$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.87 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e7…9de7backed No | 70c | 1,130$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 14c | 1,096$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.37 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…45aebacked No | 70c | 1,093$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d4…de0cbacked No | 70c | 1,048$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf84…703cbacked Yes | 32c | 1,011$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.19 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x448b…181abacked Yes | 15c | 999.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8026…2f99backed Yes | 18c | 967.05$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.27 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 943.3$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.59 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d20…07ecbacked No | 70c | 910$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked No | 71c | 833.73$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.34 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…92f7backed Yes | 29c | 800$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b43fbacked Yes | 22c | 783.8$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 18c | 749.96$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.14 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682e…70bdbacked Yes | 33c | 748.75$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed Yes | 13c | 734.97$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.26 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f6…dd39backed No | 68c | 710$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 74c | 708.98$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 8c | 706.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.18 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked Yes | 13c | 703.92$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…9d00backed Yes | 30c | 688$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 72c | 686.59$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.13 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 80c | 670.48$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.06 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -13.0wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 17c | 646.84$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.53 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…f80fbacked Yes | 15c | 637.25$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 79c | 635.86$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.87 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 21c | 599.67$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.93 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…fffcbacked No | 70c | 570$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…eb62backed Yes | 31c | 566.25$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 13c | 554.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.86 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…acf4backed Yes | 9c | 549.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19dd…8f24backed Yes | 20c | 505.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcedb…588bbacked Yes | 13c | 504.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -65%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x393d…8684backed Yes | 31c | 500$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…787bbacked No | 69c | 500$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 17c | 494.44$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.98 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff6…9bccbacked Yes | 32c | 463.52$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41eb…b169backed Yes | 30c | 457.7$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…d2b4backed Yes | 17c | 452.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb289…c1a4backed No | 70c | 446$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd85c…f69cbacked Yes | 5c | 438.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 5c | 434.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…70f9backed Yes | 9c | 426.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 12c | 415.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 110 | 10%11 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ff…f3f3backed Yes | 17c | 414.04$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1c…9f78backed Yes | 20c | 401.31$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa66…04d1backed No | 68c | 400$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d3…ff72backed Yes | 3c | 377.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…1b62backed No | 70c | 358$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked Yes | 20c | 352.03$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.86 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 19c | 350.31$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 30c | 335$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb102…b9febacked No | 70c | 330$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3f…91e6backed Yes | 29c | 324.68$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 27c | 315.71$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.05 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 29c | 313.93$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.86 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…bdddbacked No | 70c | 310$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +404%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?this page
- Will Brooke Rollins be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Chris Wright be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Doug Burgum be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Doug Collins be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Howard Lutnick be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will J.D. Vance be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Jamieson Greer be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will John Ratcliffe be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Kelly Loeffler be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Lee Zeldin be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Linda McMahon be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Marco Rubio be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Mike Waltz be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Russell T. Vought be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Scott Bessent be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Scott Turner be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Sean Duffy be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes won
- Will Susie Wiles be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Tulsi Gabbard be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.