Us Politics · resolved market
Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a9bc99f414c6124b9736bd912f2f256d6446dd3e1f35d18141f1c1a6a56cf82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 2c | 10,497$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.97 | 110 | 10%11 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a5…5f3cbacked Yes | 3c | 10,156$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.68 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Yes | 4c | 3,500$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 1c | 2,700$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 80 | 15%12 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,838$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Yes | 3c | 1,582$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b11…28a1backed Yes | 3c | 1,477$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,300$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 1,275$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…3f1bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,204$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d20…07ecbacked Yes | 6c | 1,155$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…4948backed Yes | 6c | 1,145$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8715…37f0backed Yes | 6c | 1,120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb13…a48abacked Yes | 6c | 1,054$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 6c | 1,022$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d4…de0cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,014$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…f89fbacked Yes | 6c | 978.34$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc637…ab8fbacked Yes | 6c | 957.74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8556…fad9backed Yes | 3c | 896.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6782…8f58backed Yes | 6c | 892$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99c9backed Yes | 5c | 844.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8026…2f99backed Yes | 11c | 837.6$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.94 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef7…b515backed Yes | 6c | 781$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 3c | 642.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 57 | 10.5%6 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa883…31fbbacked Yes | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ceb…e961backed Yes | 3c | 599.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff3…009cbacked Yes | 6c | 598.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…6667backed Yes | 9c | 598.52$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 12c | 576.2$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5688…9f32backed Yes | 4c | 518.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 3c | 502.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155e…0e7fbacked Yes | 7c | 500$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbee9…12b7backed Yes | 21c | 487.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 4c | 481.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 94 | 3.2%3 W · 91 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 4c | 425.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb2…4954backed Yes | 5c | 417.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b13…5957backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 12c | 388.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 152 | 27.6%42 W · 110 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 385$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 76 | 5.3%4 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed Yes | 4c | 384$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ff…f3f3backed Yes | 20c | 373.02$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed Yes | 5c | 367.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 338.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9a…6242backed Yes | 5c | 304.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 17c | 299.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 4c | 295.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 6cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…c91ebacked Yes | 18c | 281.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0983…5703backed Yes | 23c | 278.1$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 13c | 248.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…b99cbacked Yes | 12c | 243.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…d9cabacked Yes | 4c | 228.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…b053backed Yes | 17c | 210$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Yes | 15c | 204.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 10c | 170.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 336 | 18.5%62 W · 274 L | -46.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4405…6a37backed Yes | 60c | 166.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +283.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 15c | 142.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908d…1d99backed Yes | 9c | 142.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 8c | 139.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked Yes | 12c | 136$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8f…a6bbbacked Yes | 17c | 125$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2edf…6957backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8f…2268backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe958…3a47backed Yes | 20c | 101.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8697…190dbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c0…bbe8backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…eb62backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked Yes | 18c | 97.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2968…530ebacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b34…87febacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…f735backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…5dc5backed Yes | 30c | 78.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e3…88a7backed Yes | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…04cbbacked No | 80c | 60.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ff…3b59backed Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…c41bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6747…a64fbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?this page
- Will Brooke Rollins be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Chris Wright be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Doug Burgum be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Doug Collins be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Howard Lutnick be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will J.D. Vance be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Jamieson Greer be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will John Ratcliffe be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Kelly Loeffler be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Lee Zeldin be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Linda McMahon be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Marco Rubio be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Mike Waltz be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Russell T. Vought be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Scott Bessent be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Scott Turner be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Sean Duffy be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes won
- Will Susie Wiles be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Tulsi Gabbard be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.