Us Politics · resolved market
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb33aaddda06294093348959c4da94ea64c9ee6c8c8c8530a645e2fa8d3dc29fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $209,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0873…09e8backed Yes | 0c | 15,554$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed Yes | 9c | 14,584$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.04 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x245e…183cbacked Yes | 10c | 10,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6348…0fafbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…adabbacked Yes | 13c | 9,226$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.08 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 10c | 5,440$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.57 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b8…2bcdbacked Yes | 10c | 2,389$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked Yes | 10c | 2,382$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.37 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8026…2f99backed Yes | 10c | 2,185$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.04 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,860$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.06 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 11c | 1,646$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.93 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 132 | 16.7%22 W · 110 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 7c | 1,200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 11c | 1,086$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.42 | 94 | 3.2%3 W · 91 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed Yes | 16c | 1,030$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.77 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed Yes | 16c | 1,028$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.93 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 137 | 14.6%20 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4faa…1a5cbacked Yes | 9c | 999.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed Yes | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 10c | 996.31$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad79…7abbbacked Yes | 11c | 958.52$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 8c | 910.54$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.73 | 78 | 7.7%6 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c17…6a7ebacked Yes | 6c | 770.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 15c | 754.88$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.23 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 10c | 717.85$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.97 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 11c | 643.11$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.22 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 10c | 626.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 76 | 5.3%4 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7651…b077backed Yes | 10c | 545.76$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 9c | 544.26$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 8c | 536.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 57 | 10.5%6 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes | 10c | 527.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +87%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…fdd9backed Yes | 10c | 510$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d08…3defbacked Yes | 10c | 506$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbe…5323backed Yes | 10c | 502.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf8…042fbacked Yes | 10c | 499.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x553a…177fbacked Yes | 24c | 464.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 15c | 450$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 14c | 446.69$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.93 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed Yes | 11c | 424$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 410.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 8c | 406.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 8c | 405.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 10c | 394.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 6cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6c…4d67backed Yes | 11c | 376.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 10c | 353.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x612f…aa53backed Yes | 6c | 345.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198a…3ca3backed Yes | 9c | 320.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…782fbacked Yes | 10c | 299.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd85c…f69cbacked Yes | 7c | 276.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc95…5584backed Yes | 9c | 274.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 10c | 269.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…e546backed Yes | 9c | 259.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 9c | 230.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…e436backed Yes | 5c | 207.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 3cpaid | +248.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…ec80backed Yes | 10c | 202.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 152 | 27.6%42 W · 110 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a26…de59backed Yes | 11c | 197.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 10c | 197.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 336 | 18.5%62 W · 274 L | -46.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1705…ed3dbacked Yes | 11c | 190.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc413…3204backed Yes | 11c | 186.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e7…3ba9backed Yes | 12c | 181.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a8…10c4backed Yes | 11c | 180.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…3ff3backed Yes | 11c | 180.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c1…e027backed Yes | 10c | 178.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…8c39backed Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25aa…e3d3backed Yes | 10c | 145.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…419abacked Yes | 10c | 143.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 8c | 140.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4e…eda6backed Yes | 15c | 139.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 10c | 128.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 17c | 125$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecf8…603bbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bc…1d6cbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…d9cabacked Yes | 10c | 110.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c23…8c71backed Yes | 18c | 105.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfef…bfffbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x388f…9854backed Yes | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 14c | 96.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebb0…dd1abacked Yes | 12c | 94.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 78c | 76.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?this page
- Will Brooke Rollins be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Chris Wright be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Doug Burgum be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Doug Collins be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Howard Lutnick be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will J.D. Vance be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Jamieson Greer be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will John Ratcliffe be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Kelly Loeffler be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Lee Zeldin be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Linda McMahon be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Marco Rubio be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Mike Waltz be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Russell T. Vought be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Scott Bessent be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Scott Turner be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Sean Duffy be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes won
- Will Susie Wiles be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
- Will Tulsi Gabbard be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.