Movies · resolved market

Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27a7dc6b44292ae134ca9dae25d9639a0eebdf3dda728a5794fbd8c32484a00d

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 28, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $79,018
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $78,555

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,018 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Movies
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9f11…ddc4backed Yes	27c	8,172$2,237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,237.36	150	59.3%89 W · 61 L	+19.8wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Yes	46c	7,041$3,206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,206.05	94	34%32 W · 62 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5095…93eebacked Yes	19c	2,452$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468.14	296	42.6%126 W · 170 L	+22.9wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xea43…2aa4backed Yes	49c	1,515$748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$747.54	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…5790backed No	72c	1,496$1,077 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$418.97	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.20per pick	55cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	32c	1,289$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.8	137	35%48 W · 89 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb028…8686backed No	56c	1,251$697 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$553.73	236	39.8%94 W · 142 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes	26c	1,204$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.35	45	8.9%4 W · 41 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-76.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3690…e16fbacked Yes	25c	1,198$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.1	60	28.3%17 W · 43 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x910a…91a9backed Yes	12c	1,157$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.84	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes	25c	1,139$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.29	285	24.2%69 W · 216 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes	28c	1,077$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.68	118	25.4%30 W · 88 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33f8…c5e4backed No	41c	1,064$439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$625.27	294	23.5%69 W · 225 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-43%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb413…1cb7backed Yes	30c	992.21$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	42	11.9%5 W · 37 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x450e…80aebacked Yes	23c	798.02$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.69	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95bd…b9bebacked No	74c	749$554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.74	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ca…960bbacked Yes	58c	748.58$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.66	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3a8…206abacked Yes	12c	724.14$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes	70c	639.09$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.08	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	-4.7wins	-0.12per pick	60cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe987…b9c5backed Yes	71c	634.72$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.07	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.5wins	-0.73per pick	73cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed19…cb5ebacked Yes	25c	557.18$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.25	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	+19%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9199…dd2dbacked Yes	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	327	39.1%128 W · 199 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c1…ebc1backed No	74c	435.17$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.32	66	39.4%26 W · 40 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	74c	400$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104	473	28.3%134 W · 339 L	-32.8wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6291…cc47backed Yes	23c	399.99$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	285	28.8%82 W · 203 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	20c	398.91$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.46	83	32.5%27 W · 56 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06dc…af59backed Yes	28c	388.07$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.53	260	41.2%107 W · 153 L	+15.4wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No	70c	320$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.76	230	41.7%96 W · 134 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97c2…55d6backed No	74c	319$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.94	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	60cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b1a…4221backed No	78c	318.29$247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.9	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	-5.7wins	-0.15per pick	37cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x87fd…66bcbacked Yes	14c	314$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.96	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x955c…990fbacked Yes	74c	313.1$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.04	71	57.7%41 W · 30 L	+5.2wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fa6…16f9backed No	52c	311.49$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.16	150	54.7%82 W · 68 L	+30.5wins	+0.20per pick	34cpaid	+62.6%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0xb4bc…a87fbacked Yes	46c	304.72$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.44	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc326…1db1backed Yes	56c	301.47$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.77	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.7wins	-0.27per pick	47cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6c6a…168ebacked No	67c	300$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.2	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes	25c	282.62$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.33	108	27.8%30 W · 78 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7014…cef7backed Yes	61c	255.37$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb50…7bfcbacked No	68c	252.13$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.29	133	37.6%50 W · 83 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7022…f64ebacked No	67c	249.48$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.5	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65d6…a457backed Yes	47c	247.45$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.45	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa95d…6a82backed Yes	12c	234.5$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.14	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	55c	229.01$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.2	870	33.3%290 W · 580 L	-77.0wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x899c…d868backed No	66c	220$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.31	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.14per pick	42cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	41c	207.01$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.3	135	34.8%47 W · 88 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf40…38b8backed No	50c	206.49$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.83	87	52.9%46 W · 41 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No	71c	200$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.5	130	34.6%45 W · 85 L	-8.2wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97b7…146ebacked Yes	27c	200$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	9c	200$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	278	1.8%5 W · 273 L	-9.2wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8151…3421backed Yes	12c	191$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.92	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+4.8wins	+0.16per pick	47cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6bca…b60abacked Yes	12c	182.29$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.73	114	21.9%25 W · 89 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f66…3a50backed Yes	79c	178.33$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.62	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.8wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ab4…404abacked Yes	39c	162.47$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.6	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4da7…355ebacked No	27c	156.01$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.89	75	38.7%29 W · 46 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d50…a4c1backed Yes	10c	140$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.26per pick	43cpaid	-71.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked No	25c	137.39$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.42	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	+3.1wins	+0.15per pick	14cpaid	+79.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed No	61c	135.56$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.71	133	33.1%44 W · 89 L	-10.3wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x401e…6fc9backed No	37c	135.3$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.63	175	40%70 W · 105 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked No	78c	130.73$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.25	59	57.6%34 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes	59c	129.05$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.12	233	21.5%50 W · 183 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-34%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0aec…fdafbacked Yes	20c	119.58$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.92	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+2.4wins	+0.20per pick	38cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x833d…c788backed No	66c	108.71$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.96	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.19per pick	56cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4a7…d389backed Yes	48c	103.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.92	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49f7…f566backed Yes	45c	103.64$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.64	55	72.7%40 W · 15 L	+10.8wins	+0.20per pick	53cpaid	+47.7%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x5520…40d7backed Yes	29c	102.62$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc59f…59abbacked Yes	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9934…6078backed Yes	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.9	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33db…417abacked Yes	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.3	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc37b…9b85backed Yes	18c	99.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Yes	19c	99.38$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.87	35	17.1%6 W · 29 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	11cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	25c	98.43$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.85	672	32%215 W · 457 L	+14.4wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-30%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37fc…7717backed Yes	21c	96.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	28	25%7 W · 21 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x714e…beeebacked Yes	28c	92.36$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.86	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…649dbacked Yes	29c	88.82$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.02	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2042…1c4fbacked Yes	23c	80$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.35	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	18c	75$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	484	14%68 W · 416 L	-39.3wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe554…ee0ebacked Yes	80c	71.2$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.96	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.19per pick	41cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes	17c	66.95$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.51	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e67…2b1fbacked No	52c	65.38$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.38	59	52.5%31 W · 28 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0ac…990dbacked Yes	22c	64.61$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.04	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe78…c533backed Yes	51c	62.71$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.99	297	35.7%106 W · 191 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf17e…5fbebacked Yes	70c	61.32$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	61cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c26…6e31backed No	69c	59.01$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.02	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac7a…414fbacked Yes	61c	58$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.38	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.24per pick	44cpaid	-66.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf70…7350backed Yes	28c	54.11$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.15	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x444a…f56ebacked Yes	29c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.45	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed No	58c	48.59$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.42	192	40.6%78 W · 114 L	-20.3wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x265f…0ab9backed Yes	42c	48.02$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No	77c	46$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.59	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…9144backed Yes	67c	44.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.74	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Yes	55c	40.27$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.31	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	62cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8d6…bdc2backed Yes	29c	40.03$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x540a…64c9backed Yes	46c	40$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.4	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.2wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4695…9d51backed Yes	67c	37.88$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.38	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53cb…69babacked No	50c	35$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.57	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+82.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x23eb…c516backed Yes	31c	34$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.41	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.14per pick	58cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5c8…3652backed Yes	73c	30$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.9	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	63cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed No	77c	24.98$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.68	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fff…9a5bbacked Yes	53c	20.75$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe86b…9371backed No	74c	20.31$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.35	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	69cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?this page
Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6.5m?No won
Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 6.5m?No won
Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event