Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia enter Bilytske by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa97bd505be11aa3ad803dcab6c635513e26f8ecfdccee41c40e9208a9a30c046
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 18c | 2,793$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.49 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 72c | 2,716$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.3 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…52f1backed Yes | 30c | 2,270$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.08 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed Yes | 29c | 2,182$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.03 | 134 | 29.9%40 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 27c | 1,657$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.15 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,440$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.76 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 74c | 1,163$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.91 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…c6c1backed Yes | 31c | 1,040$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 19c | 999.99$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.03 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…fdb5backed Yes | 26c | 779.84$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.21 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd9…d4c9backed No | 72c | 698.49$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf0…da21backed No | 67c | 589.3$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.01 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 12c | 554.26$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.29 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…552fbacked No | 77c | 516.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.24 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 508.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 150 | 29.3%44 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…21ccbacked Yes | 24c | 417.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 73c | 415.9$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.62 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fa…a1ddbacked Yes | 30c | 414.67$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +53%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…a220backed No | 79c | 413$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed Yes | 23c | 397$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.25 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaed3…ba72backed Yes | 26c | 391.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff9…19b4backed Yes | 15c | 321.47$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf06d…db77backed Yes | 22c | 319$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…1614backed No | 64c | 313.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 13c | 310$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 19c | 300.57$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 131 | 28.2%37 W · 94 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f6…595cbacked No | 80c | 287$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 75c | 278.37$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.72 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed No | 73c | 274.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.82 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…27aebacked No | 74c | 269.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.82 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ed…28e1backed Yes | 21c | 255$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a9…b03dbacked Yes | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 7c | 239.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 76c | 237.57$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.01 | 158 | 55.1%87 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 7c | 234.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 17c | 234.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 99 | 32.3%32 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa8…6375backed Yes | 5c | 232.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…5d25backed Yes | 32c | 230$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…e412backed No | 70c | 220$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…58ccbacked Yes | 20c | 211$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…053fbacked No | 77c | 210$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 73c | 210$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd44…1837backed No | 78c | 202$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed Yes | 19c | 199.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 136 | 22.8%31 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x896f…b561backed Yes | 29c | 192.45$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…efa3backed No | 67c | 187.64$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 29c | 187.34$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed No | 73c | 185.65$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.27 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…7822backed No | 71c | 179.86$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf049…29fdbacked No | 67c | 176$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2a…88b8backed No | 69c | 162.02$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…3dbabacked Yes | 24c | 148.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787a…a54dbacked Yes | 33c | 141$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb055…659dbacked No | 75c | 132.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Yes | 31c | 130$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2196…b03cbacked Yes | 19c | 128.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983d…933fbacked Yes | 33c | 128.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…ad61backed Yes | 21c | 125.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf477…1c28backed Yes | 33c | 121.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c2…fcbebacked Yes | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b48…fdcabacked Yes | 34c | 118.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…f991backed No | 55c | 115$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 27c | 111$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…b734backed No | 75c | 109.64$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…0c32backed No | 78c | 101$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b84…5061backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf73…0436backed No | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aea…ee37backed No | 72c | 97.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…c560backed Yes | 27c | 93.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…1893backed Yes | 15c | 82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 60c | 79.79$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 36c | 78.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 294 | 16%47 W · 247 L | -53.7wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x25fb…6734backed No | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x819e…e967backed Yes | 27c | 69.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a25…0eecbacked No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked No | 79c | 67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…a1aebacked Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80dc…7cf8backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 69c | 59.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06cd…e124backed No | 71c | 59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5544…802abacked Yes | 29c | 59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c2…aa71backed No | 71c | 58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…bffcbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7534…d51bbacked Yes | 20c | 56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe443…c065backed Yes | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa5…b2f6backed Yes | 38c | 52.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…f9e3backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…2327backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f9…4794backed Yes | 30c | 48.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8def…8b44backed No | 64c | 47.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…e974backed No | 79c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e16…cc3cbacked Yes | 40c | 43.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 74c | 41.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.