Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Alex Zdan be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0c812eaa5ae190e9e346aa8325f3c47ccffa8aa0066fea28512ab100b989379
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 44c | 1,459$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.25 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 53c | 1,152$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.82 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 25c | 775.18$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.19 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 34c | 732.56$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.96 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 44c | 663.16$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.15 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 66c | 420$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…8954backed No | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 77c | 399.99$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…171bbacked Yes | 8c | 291.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 31c | 279$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.62 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 42c | 276.48$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.75 | 228 | 48.7%111 W · 117 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 63c | 253.08$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.9 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 78c | 223.12$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 139 | 19.4%27 W · 112 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 68c | 197$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.32 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +144%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 45c | 194.14$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.51 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed Yes | 37c | 189.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 65c | 179.96$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.15 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked No | 62c | 178.18$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 49c | 174.51$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.62 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 61c | 163.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…9be4backed Yes | 59c | 160$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 42c | 144.68$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 61c | 135.94$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 60c | 135.06$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.35 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 52c | 130.34$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.19 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 35c | 120$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 63c | 116.47$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 77c | 116$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 51c | 113.23$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…e409backed No | 54c | 112.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 36c | 109.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 166 | 32.5%54 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…6944backed Yes | 57c | 103.51$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 272 | 22.1%60 W · 212 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 52c | 96.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 58c | 96.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 74c | 87.55$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…ee85backed Yes | 45c | 87.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…971abacked Yes | 57c | 85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 46c | 83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 62c | 79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 21c | 74.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.94 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b48…8fefbacked Yes | 38c | 71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 28c | 70.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 44c | 67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 494 | 11.5%57 W · 437 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 50c | 65.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 50c | 58.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 23c | 55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 40c | 54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7593…e677backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…8d29backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 21c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 57c | 49.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 72c | 48.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 79c | 45.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 95 | 78.9%75 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 74cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…2ba5backed Yes | 30c | 45.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…dbaabacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccfc…678ebacked Yes | 38c | 39.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 53c | 38.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 41c | 38.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 44c | 37.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed Yes | 33c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 72c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf90…62b9backed No | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…6d0abacked Yes | 49c | 33.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96db…499fbacked Yes | 38c | 31.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 41c | 26.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb66…54d6backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 50c | 23.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 52c | 23.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…227bbacked Yes | 64c | 18.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alex Zdan be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?this page
- Will Alina Habba be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?No won
- Will Justin Murphy be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?Yes won
- Will Natalie Rivera be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?No won
- Will Richard Tabor be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?No won
- Will Robert Lebovics be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?No won
- Will Steven Boston be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?No won
- Will Vinnie Brand be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.