Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Robert Lebovics be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35309eb51e6533086db32245523d6174a31001230696526574b643b035f8a9c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $261,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $259,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $261,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13f8…4c2dbacked Yes | 3c | 4,206$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7556…fd1ebacked Yes | 3c | 4,077$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd543…bf70backed Yes | 3c | 2,905$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba9…f524backed Yes | 3c | 2,488$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e00…c129backed Yes | 3c | 2,363$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…2157backed Yes | 3c | 2,307$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fee…3e12backed Yes | 3c | 2,211$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe629…0d98backed Yes | 3c | 2,191$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f0…5f52backed Yes | 3c | 2,160$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191d…9d60backed Yes | 3c | 2,138$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…2cfbbacked Yes | 3c | 2,127$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…bcdfbacked Yes | 3c | 2,123$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8d…8b17backed Yes | 3c | 2,069$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcb…f3f1backed Yes | 3c | 1,951$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e77…8525backed Yes | 3c | 1,886$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4896…1a9abacked Yes | 3c | 1,828$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…0071backed Yes | 3c | 1,817$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…4774backed Yes | 3c | 1,771$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7695…b1cdbacked Yes | 3c | 1,741$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06f…5dcfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,728$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…843ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,726$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x062b…4f9bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,648$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…bf88backed Yes | 3c | 1,598$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…be00backed Yes | 3c | 1,550$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cc…a917backed Yes | 3c | 1,549$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c01…276cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,547$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6e…1ce2backed Yes | 3c | 1,471$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab82…27edbacked Yes | 3c | 1,461$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…d248backed Yes | 3c | 1,435$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fc…ef10backed Yes | 3c | 1,414$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6784…97cebacked Yes | 3c | 1,379$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52db…1d1cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,378$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda04…d0edbacked Yes | 3c | 1,372$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf028…8a20backed Yes | 3c | 1,362$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…7c64backed Yes | 3c | 1,334$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6970…b924backed Yes | 3c | 1,288$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…c88cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,284$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…fe4dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,272$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…0bd8backed Yes | 3c | 1,264$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b8…51f2backed Yes | 3c | 1,253$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…85dabacked Yes | 3c | 1,209$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x475a…c339backed Yes | 3c | 1,174$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82d…aee7backed Yes | 3c | 1,172$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af8…0a0cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,103$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…8dbdbacked Yes | 3c | 1,078$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…c8d9backed Yes | 3c | 1,047$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf66…e5f6backed Yes | 3c | 1,037$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…2628backed Yes | 3c | 1,028$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 2c | 999.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 251 | 35.9%90 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4657…9bd8backed Yes | 3c | 966$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40af…d8a4backed Yes | 3c | 957$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…2b01backed Yes | 3c | 943$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 4c | 933.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 196 | 4.6%9 W · 187 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…4964backed Yes | 3c | 932$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c8…11c3backed Yes | 3c | 931$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd57a…9c38backed Yes | 3c | 892$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e60…908bbacked Yes | 3c | 879$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb5…91b6backed Yes | 3c | 875$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a9…8e65backed Yes | 3c | 863$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cf…d76bbacked Yes | 3c | 804$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0a…89cdbacked Yes | 3c | 802$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827c…1618backed Yes | 3c | 794$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd39e…0618backed Yes | 3c | 792$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…73c8backed Yes | 3c | 788$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa041…facbbacked Yes | 3c | 766$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 4c | 732.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 275 | 21.8%60 W · 215 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…661abacked Yes | 3c | 725$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d3…d9cabacked Yes | 3c | 716$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd075…4398backed Yes | 3c | 716$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfd…7e52backed Yes | 3c | 705$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…b659backed Yes | 3c | 700$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd044…2e1bbacked Yes | 3c | 646$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb50…376fbacked Yes | 3c | 607$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f4…2104backed Yes | 3c | 603$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 4c | 568.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb477…a2fbbacked Yes | 3c | 540$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4767…29d3backed Yes | 3c | 540$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb97…7cabbacked Yes | 3c | 513$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23a3…d5ddbacked Yes | 3c | 501$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf94…b59ebacked Yes | 3c | 487$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…b3b5backed Yes | 3c | 487$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9719…fb7cbacked Yes | 3c | 485$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…451cbacked Yes | 3c | 474$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42d…0eccbacked Yes | 3c | 473$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b7…32a1backed Yes | 3c | 468$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fc…120dbacked Yes | 3c | 462$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 4c | 452$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 105 | 1%1 W · 104 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…9219backed Yes | 3c | 426$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21a9…ec02backed Yes | 3c | 406$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe264…3defbacked Yes | 3c | 406$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01d…8bd2backed Yes | 3c | 382$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…fa0bbacked Yes | 4c | 338.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa227…0b0ebacked Yes | 3c | 328$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…1834backed Yes | 3c | 307$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 5c | 295.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6586…c69cbacked Yes | 5c | 206.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Robert Lebovics be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?this page
- Will Alex Zdan be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?No won
- Will Alina Habba be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?No won
- Will Justin Murphy be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?Yes won
- Will Natalie Rivera be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?No won
- Will Richard Tabor be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?No won
- Will Steven Boston be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?No won
- Will Vinnie Brand be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.