Middle East · resolved market
Will Marco Rubio visit Israel by March 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97b690e6d65fc551b0ea1e424314a93d13e10771761087ed25550b78f8836009
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc5c6…57dcbacked Yes | 20c | 5,530$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked No | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…7edbbacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e2…0a27backed Yes | 5c | 2,018$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.71 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…d720backed Yes | 5c | 1,873$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf769…0114backed Yes | 1c | 1,572$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 53c | 1,511$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.28 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 12c | 1,332$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 156 | 25%39 W · 117 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed No | 55c | 1,213$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.2 | 126 | 34.9%44 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 63c | 1,170$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.36 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeea…a889backed Yes | 2c | 1,100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,095$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.81 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6741…0179backed Yes | 3c | 1,082$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed No | 69c | 928.44$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.52 | 169 | 61.5%104 W · 65 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b71…6269backed Yes | 1c | 927.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198a…3ca3backed Yes | 69c | 859.42$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.03 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed No | 72c | 832.88$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.36 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…7cb7backed Yes | 5c | 810.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ea…5227backed Yes | 2c | 798.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked Yes | 78c | 783.75$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.37 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…3bd4backed Yes | 71c | 696.73$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 35c | 600$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa244…8e63backed No | 28c | 599.98$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.98 | 115 | 31.3%36 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 35c | 567.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.8 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked No | 23c | 565.56$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.1 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 24c | 504.67$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.55 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 34c | 500.21$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.14 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked No | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 19c | 500$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed No | 34c | 498.31$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.23 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed No | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 54c | 434.78$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.78 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 65c | 416.97$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.18 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…652abacked Yes | 14c | 416.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x714e…beeebacked No | 19c | 405.4$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.37 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 66c | 400$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 202 | 47%95 W · 107 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…6402backed Yes | 65c | 394.12$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.18 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4c…d00abacked Yes | 3c | 388.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…b38bbacked Yes | 9c | 385.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 67c | 385.18$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.14 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed No | 50c | 375.37$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.76 | 291 | 29.9%87 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 62c | 352.53$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.09 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cef…af02backed Yes | 64c | 350$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xecd7…c7e1backed Yes | 65c | 349$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.85 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 8c | 347.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d51…6f1fbacked Yes | 53c | 337.8$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.03 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes | 77c | 336.76$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.01 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…56e8backed No | 33c | 329$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.43 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9a…6fb2backed Yes | 67c | 329$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 21c | 322$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 21c | 312.49$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.87 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked No | 65c | 312.37$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.05 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ce…2fa6backed Yes | 6c | 305.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 5c | 299.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 66c | 280.9$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.6 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 65c | 278.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.83 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5059…720cbacked Yes | 78c | 277.53$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.26 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…ad89backed Yes | 17c | 270.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 26c | 263.15$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 248.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997d…2d10backed No | 34c | 244.44$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…3880backed Yes | 10c | 243.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 133 | 21.8%29 W · 104 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf06…4799backed Yes | 6c | 242.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes | 74c | 240.26$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.79 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac6a…2ed3backed Yes | 78c | 228.86$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.51 | 90 | 68.9%62 W · 28 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2a…4ab7backed Yes | 68c | 220.07$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa532…cc03backed No | 38c | 200$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 40c | 199.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.61 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -23.0wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4da6…b8e5backed Yes | 64c | 199.63$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed Yes | 59c | 192.21$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.27 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 23c | 184.04$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.18 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4db…b966backed No | 34c | 183.32$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.21 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 32c | 181.92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…db3fbacked Yes | 68c | 179.58$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.11 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a96…3eccbacked Yes | 7c | 166.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd210…92dfbacked Yes | 65c | 164.07$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3401backed Yes | 30c | 158.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…21c1backed Yes | 13c | 156.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x983b…09c4backed No | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ac…f4e1backed Yes | 8c | 156.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 15c | 144.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes | 9c | 144.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 200 | 35.5%71 W · 129 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe4…5df1backed No | 75c | 141.55$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 65c | 136.72$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d9…ed2fbacked Yes | 15c | 130.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e2…92b9backed Yes | 12c | 126.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 35c | 125$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.75 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…f1d7backed No | 19c | 125$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 58c | 123.27$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 317 | 28.7%91 W · 226 L | -35.7wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 22c | 120$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.37 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 37c | 116.46$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed No | 25c | 114.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.81 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf193…6f39backed No | 31c | 114.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +226.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 66c | 112.3$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked No | 35c | 110.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.28 | 222 | 27%60 W · 162 L | +17.8wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Yes | 66c | 105$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e1…5aecbacked No | 34c | 102.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…703dbacked Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdf…1561backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d64…b4c0backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.