Movies · resolved market
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf12648e8f9b52f1d6d2fa8aafd965df15544876cecf53fc1be6c0ab178bbc814
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 51c | 14,222$7,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,237.86 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 50c | 10,450$5,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,183.03 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked No | 16c | 5,900$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.92 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked No | 30c | 5,785$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.23 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 27c | 4,164$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.44 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bb…a9f7backed Yes | 74c | 4,065$3,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.05 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 39c | 3,913$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.97 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 32c | 2,397$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.22 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 47c | 2,254$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.73 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 55c | 1,783$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.62 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 28c | 1,583$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.33 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 74c | 1,544$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.12 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed No | 9c | 1,384$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.58 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 51c | 1,213$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.76 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 33c | 1,027$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.32 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…146dbacked Yes | 56c | 823.38$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.04 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…6087backed Yes | 33c | 811.23$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.65 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf697…c72cbacked Yes | 47c | 732.22$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.28 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 43c | 670.6$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.77 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…4cfdbacked Yes | 42c | 669.7$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.97 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 75c | 640.96$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.36 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 56c | 614.77$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.66 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked Yes | 22c | 610.02$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 58c | 575.59$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.2 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed Yes | 13c | 570.11$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.01 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 38c | 520.07$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.46 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed Yes | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb15…9483backed Yes | 19c | 472.92$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 25c | 455.55$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.86 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…67b1backed Yes | 18c | 423.62$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.27 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 53c | 405.83$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.62 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…5b03backed Yes | 62c | 386.43$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x314c…69ddbacked No | 28c | 359.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 30c | 348.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.9 | 108 | 30.6%33 W · 75 L | -13.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 37c | 312$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.9 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…013ebacked Yes | 49c | 305$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 78c | 301.4$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.27 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 39c | 299.98$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…c234backed Yes | 76c | 267$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…f125backed Yes | 50c | 264.05$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x114a…46c0backed Yes | 17c | 261$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.86 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +56%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…69fdbacked Yes | 17c | 239.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +200%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 44c | 221.55$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.67 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 40c | 215$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.25 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 29c | 211.9$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.45 | 195 | 32.8%64 W · 131 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 13c | 211.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 69c | 210$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.48 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb413…adc3backed Yes | 19c | 208.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.97 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5603…7a24backed Yes | 9c | 202.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.53 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Yes | 48c | 200$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 65c | 199.29$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 68c | 188.61$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.82 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked No | 32c | 183.65$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed No | 10c | 172.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2583…261abacked Yes | 70c | 167.22$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed Yes | 52c | 162.41$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.48 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 19c | 150.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.79 | 1,393 | 8%111 W · 1,282 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 74c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed No | 31c | 139.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5144…37c9backed Yes | 70c | 139.59$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 17c | 138$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed Yes | 48c | 129$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked No | 52c | 126.08$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f2…6c8ebacked Yes | 56c | 125.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -70%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 45c | 123.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…b015backed Yes | 68c | 113$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…9251backed Yes | 79c | 106.65$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…3ce8backed No | 46c | 102.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc02b…13d1backed Yes | 55c | 100.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5f…c111backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.98 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…309abacked Yes | 61c | 99.66$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7c…ba26backed Yes | 44c | 90.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a43…178bbacked Yes | 12c | 90$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.8 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked Yes | 52c | 86.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -46%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Yes | 47c | 85.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cb…6cb5backed Yes | 44c | 84.91$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb382…f229backed Yes | 61c | 83.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…77b2backed Yes | 60c | 82.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 38c | 74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcd…a764backed Yes | 65c | 71.89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed Yes | 39c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabaf…8651backed Yes | 58c | 68.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 16c | 68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 49c | 65.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 17c | 65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…6e17backed Yes | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d03…9d52backed Yes | 56c | 57.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 48c | 54.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 20c | 54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 34c | 53.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked No | 20c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93e2…92b9backed No | 33c | 52.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46cc…3097backed No | 32c | 52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3d…2ff5backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…b548backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?this page
- Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 98m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 74m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.