Movies · resolved market
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6aceb9d6c3b661f7254172455f8622b890f8b1f94c3e65ae5c7b390bc38d39bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 61c | 15,761$9,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,164.28 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked Yes | 38c | 11,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.99 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed No | 69c | 7,101$4,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.88 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 33c | 4,418$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.13 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bb…a9f7backed Yes | 34c | 4,348$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.84 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee9…a2d7backed Yes | 2c | 2,865$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a6…64b7backed Yes | 2c | 2,434$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 20c | 2,355$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.26 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 35c | 1,595$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.7 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,351$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…67b1backed Yes | 20c | 999.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.49 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 13c | 927.65$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.97 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed No | 54c | 898.46$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.85 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…146dbacked Yes | 23c | 801.77$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.47 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 33c | 691.94$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.21 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48f…2132backed Yes | 32c | 684$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5f…c111backed Yes | 29c | 637.27$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.52 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…6087backed Yes | 37c | 600.19$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.31 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 9c | 579.69$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 138 | 20.3%28 W · 110 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed Yes | 32c | 507.38$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.52 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x810f…57aabacked Yes | 19c | 486$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.22 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…07a3backed Yes | 10c | 439.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5603…7a24backed Yes | 28c | 410$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1887…6c52backed Yes | 3c | 385.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb382…f229backed Yes | 30c | 376.8$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf853…5bd4backed Yes | 8c | 356.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed No | 76c | 355.62$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.45 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…bdfbbacked Yes | 14c | 352.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 15c | 322.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3344…56c4backed Yes | 25c | 321.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 4c | 314.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 69 | 17.4%12 W · 57 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab80…af18backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81de…20d4backed Yes | 15c | 297.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 75c | 295$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.9 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb15…9483backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe241…5b42backed No | 68c | 294$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf697…c72cbacked Yes | 18c | 283.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f9…6c15backed Yes | 26c | 275.65$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 72c | 264.57$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.27 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b8…5e00backed Yes | 15c | 237.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf735…6157backed Yes | 5c | 229.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 46c | 214$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.44 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…a7a4backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c8…be84backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 27c | 193.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 41c | 190$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 28c | 189.8$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 23c | 167.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b6…90d3backed Yes | 8c | 161.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 15c | 160.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 130 | 34.6%45 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3872…fa4ebacked Yes | 12c | 159.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 35c | 158.1$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.96 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 71c | 152.26$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d08…e5dfbacked Yes | 9c | 151.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked No | 79c | 139.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x361a…9b39backed Yes | 22c | 134.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc15…cca6backed Yes | 46c | 132$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.08 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x114a…46c0backed Yes | 23c | 126.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +56%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked No | 80c | 125.78$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 45c | 122$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -7.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf143…4ef2backed No | 67c | 117.09$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa297…6a6ebacked Yes | 30c | 113.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7724…0492backed Yes | 18c | 113.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 79c | 107.78$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x159e…050ebacked Yes | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f2…6c8ebacked Yes | 14c | 104.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -70%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 12c | 103.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 195 | 32.8%64 W · 131 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Yes | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f95…6e00backed Yes | 15c | 98.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…db7bbacked Yes | 15c | 87.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da8…54afbacked Yes | 32c | 72.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cf…d696backed Yes | 24c | 68.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 20c | 67.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…6e17backed Yes | 38c | 66.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…d338backed Yes | 36c | 60.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed Yes | 36c | 60.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…fbb6backed Yes | 28c | 58.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 58c | 53.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e3…9208backed No | 69c | 52.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 72c | 44.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2415…c70bbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88d9…ae29backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 46c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 43c | 36.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe874…52a4backed Yes | 27c | 36.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d8…af42backed No | 67c | 34.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 41c | 32.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bb…fccabacked No | 67c | 28.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed No | 79c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd781…daacbacked No | 70c | 25.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…d613backed No | 70c | 25.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbc…1b63backed No | 70c | 25.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…5658backed Yes | 47c | 21.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?this page
- Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 98m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?Yes won
- Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 74m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.