Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48632f7287c4f0caa3b278b241088b9b7abd49eeb153c7e503a86836bf7ecb20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8257…da02backed No | 74c | 5,599$4,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.76 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 49c | 2,546$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.46 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…0f98backed No | 73c | 2,214$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.05 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +11.2wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 56c | 1,917$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.26 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…aa36backed Yes | 54c | 1,833$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.8 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 29c | 1,522$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.18 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 36c | 1,515$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.58 | 247 | 59.1%146 W · 101 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…ac0bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,455$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.03 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +182.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…0838backed No | 30c | 1,350$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.61 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 9c | 1,300$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 50c | 1,120$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.1 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Yes | 65c | 1,029$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.69 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66d0…ea60backed No | 49c | 1,011$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ae…bad5backed Yes | 10c | 999.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes | 70c | 911.24$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.46 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 58c | 778.04$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.95 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 15c | 751.95$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.86 | 337 | 41.2%139 W · 198 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 32c | 717.78$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.09 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…4568backed No | 64c | 712.3$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502f…d624backed No | 42c | 706.43$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.43 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x725a…5cafbacked No | 31c | 680.85$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.64 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +128.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed Yes | 58c | 680.32$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.19 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +16.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…bd03backed No | 42c | 598.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.95 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +14.8wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3a…1a65backed No | 26c | 586.76$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.76 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…ee5cbacked No | 24c | 551.77$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 5c | 545$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a7b8backed Yes | 75c | 531.19$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1ac6backed Yes | 22c | 520.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.85 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f0…7ab9backed No | 32c | 503.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 24c | 500.02$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.91 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 341 | 43.4%148 W · 193 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 61c | 500$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 159 | 43.4%69 W · 90 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes | 16c | 428$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.72 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e9…1bf3backed No | 35c | 421.67$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 60c | 375.02$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.32 | 366 | 26.8%98 W · 268 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e6…0f21backed Yes | 5c | 369.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…5362backed No | 37c | 338.65$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.51 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…f57ebacked No | 78c | 336.81$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 14c | 331.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.72 | 197 | 39.1%77 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd3…5cf0backed Yes | 63c | 319.98$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.89 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5732…b57cbacked Yes | 10c | 314.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…da3fbacked No | 31c | 309.95$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.06 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +11.8wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…99bfbacked Yes | 8c | 309.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6abe…d6a5backed No | 65c | 308.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.29 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…9359backed Yes | 52c | 308.12$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.56 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd0…c562backed No | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 24cpaid | +121.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…0357backed No | 39c | 297.72$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.17 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…33c0backed Yes | 77c | 289.41$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 88 | 29.5%26 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 28c | 287.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.4 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bb…bdb8backed No | 28c | 281.96$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.96 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb069…0e1cbacked No | 36c | 281.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.27 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…ffc0backed No | 27c | 259.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.29 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | -40%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe65f…9352backed Yes | 17c | 248.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf90…41f0backed Yes | 10c | 237.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yes | 68c | 232$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.66 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b50…9e9ebacked No | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 31c | 217.77$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.11 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…c04fbacked No | 44c | 207.3$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.09 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8c…4df4backed Yes | 69c | 205.38$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 7c | 205$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 288 | 27.8%80 W · 208 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…f35cbacked Yes | 61c | 201.98$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.81 | 186 | 39.8%74 W · 112 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…78d0backed No | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe03a…5e98backed No | 29c | 199.86$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.86 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 35c | 189.28$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.03 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 32c | 186.4$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 10c | 182.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbd…1288backed Yes | 72c | 180$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…78ddbacked No | 24c | 167.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.37 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 28c | 157.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad6…5e1cbacked Yes | 18c | 152.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +9.0wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x93b3…893ebacked No | 32c | 149.16$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.44 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 32c | 147$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 181 | 35.9%65 W · 116 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 65c | 146.76$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.01 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 7c | 144.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 143.06$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.66 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b06…3489backed No | 30c | 138.43$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.47 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…9febbacked No | 44c | 136.54$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.54 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c00…6db8backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 9c | 135.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff9…bbb4backed No | 68c | 132.03$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…fb82backed No | 25c | 130$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked No | 79c | 126.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6d…5453backed Yes | 65c | 126.33$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.7 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…2970backed No | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed Yes | 62c | 120.02$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x738a…5996backed Yes | 72c | 115.87$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +12.6wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 45c | 107.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 360 | 35.3%127 W · 233 L | -30.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…69fbbacked No | 30c | 106.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4907…cdc2backed Yes | 41c | 103.68$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93e2…92b9backed Yes | 16c | 101.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bab…8322backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…5596backed No | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked No | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63e0…4ca5backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…2a21backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a2…051bbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?this page
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.