Olympics · resolved market
Will Lucas Pinheiro Braathen (BRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Men's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe20d5adfb8a63f36e1bbd2af2da7dc30baf68e12aa764fe974a41e7e7a2f3a31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5e9…32b8backed Yes | 52c | 20,755$10,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,845.96 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…97a4backed No | 51c | 17,116$8,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,460.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed Yes | 35c | 5,987$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.13 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -81%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked No | 67c | 4,825$3,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 78c | 4,234$3,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.94 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked No | 60c | 3,898$2,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.91 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked No | 52c | 3,300$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.31 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 52c | 1,822$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 22c | 1,750$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 76c | 1,649$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.59 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…dd1ebacked Yes | 41c | 1,101$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 58c | 908.42$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.75 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked No | 52c | 884.99$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.15 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 80c | 733.75$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 79c | 713.52$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.97 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed No | 79c | 668.75$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed No | 79c | 651.97$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.91 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed Yes | 38c | 643.78$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.56 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 72c | 500$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…9074backed No | 79c | 418$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Yes | 25c | 400$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f4…0e38backed No | 65c | 396.85$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b0c1backed No | 79c | 305.77$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed No | 80c | 290$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 43c | 272.23$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…5348backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 78c | 219.4$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked No | 75c | 217.83$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2b…2030backed No | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.29per pick | 48cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14a1…ab45backed No | 63c | 180$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a56…695bbacked No | 36c | 177.11$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4644…a2b6backed Yes | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 80c | 148.46$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 22c | 146$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 20c | 135$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 17c | 132.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x990d…e328backed Yes | 46c | 130.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed No | 74c | 125.56$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 29c | 121.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 20c | 115.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed No | 80c | 108.59$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x154e…911fbacked No | 80c | 105$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 18c | 104.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 80c | 100.23$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c13…c1a0backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed No | 80c | 85.53$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 80c | 85.45$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…2489backed Yes | 20c | 75.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…62a0backed Yes | 26c | 71.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 54c | 63.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6820…b82bbacked Yes | 41c | 61.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x895f…cfadbacked No | 54c | 57.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93e2…92b9backed Yes | 26c | 40.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…e4a9backed No | 76c | 35.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ce…c202backed Yes | 35c | 33.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe39a…5bbfbacked No | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…3c13backed No | 55c | 25.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7038…6647backed Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 60c | 20.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x291e…513cbacked No | 64c | 20.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffc…ddcebacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf3…bc59backed No | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lucas Pinheiro Braathen (BRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Men's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Atle Lie McGrath (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Men's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Clement Noel (FRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Men's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Eduard Hallberg (FIN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Men's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Henrik Kristoffersen (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Men's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Loic Meillard (SUI) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Men's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Manuel Feller (AUT) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Men's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Steven Amiez (FRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Men's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.