Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0565a20738ffde39b24737a1c736072b9ccd04381ca28918032a1f8ae64a405d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 31c | 3,577$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…5790backed No | 60c | 2,086$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.36 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,603$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.77 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Yes | 20c | 1,424$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.98 | 233 | 21%49 W · 184 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 17c | 1,175$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.68 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 1,101$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1583…e8b0backed Yes | 39c | 1,054$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa6…4094backed Yes | 37c | 1,049$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.54 | 307 | 14%43 W · 264 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 13c | 1,016$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.26 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 285 | 9.1%26 W · 259 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…6bd7backed Yes | 6c | 975.61$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 247 | 10.9%27 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…85cabacked No | 56c | 894.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…5c87backed Yes | 10c | 835$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +185.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 20c | 792$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.02 | 83 | 20.5%17 W · 66 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 25c | 744.66$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.82 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 23c | 703.38$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.73 | 122 | 13.9%17 W · 105 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…d567backed No | 75c | 684.78$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes | 8c | 679.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 504 | 5.2%26 W · 478 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 78c | 615.48$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.41 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 7c | 583.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 121 | 14%17 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…89ccbacked Yes | 18c | 555.05$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 18c | 551.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.62 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 3c | 499.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 272 | 7%19 W · 253 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 16c | 450$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.35 | 169 | 69.2%117 W · 52 L | +17.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed Yes | 9c | 414.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Yes | 11c | 413.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 417 | 18%75 W · 342 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 16c | 412$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.46 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…2eacbacked Yes | 9c | 404.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 4c | 402.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9484…a173backed Yes | 17c | 401.24$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 400 | 16.8%67 W · 333 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 8c | 370$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 491 | 6.7%33 W · 458 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 365.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93e2…92b9backed Yes | 8c | 364.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 9c | 357.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed No | 9c | 357.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.08 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 9cpaid | +299.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 356.57$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.35 | 788 | 11.5%91 W · 697 L | -33.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd427…05adbacked Yes | 6c | 350$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 265 | 16.6%44 W · 221 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 18c | 341.91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.14 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb38…f4dfbacked Yes | 45c | 312.38$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbd…2bfbbacked Yes | 35c | 309.31$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1b…a02fbacked Yes | 42c | 301.76$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd379…87a8backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…d431backed No | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x472a…2dadbacked Yes | 42c | 280$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 42cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcaf…11dabacked Yes | 45c | 268.2$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…7014backed Yes | 46c | 263$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 75c | 259.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.46 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…6be5backed No | 60c | 256.76$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33f9…603dbacked No | 64c | 255.15$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…b8f3backed Yes | 19c | 254$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…978dbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 32%32 W · 68 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d0…af08backed Yes | 40c | 243.48$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…9dcbbacked Yes | 6c | 242.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dd…19eabacked Yes | 6c | 230.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17c5…7c9fbacked No | 59c | 214.2$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5f…1201backed No | 55c | 212.38$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 58c | 210$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +108%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…73febacked Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5daf…ffadbacked No | 55c | 200.79$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…0d2abacked No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 35c | 194.93$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.03 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 18c | 193$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.54 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0e…d99bbacked No | 56c | 191.91$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…25a0backed No | 57c | 187.88$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdd…75c4backed No | 58c | 180$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 78c | 179.81$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8808…164fbacked No | 54c | 179.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c98…6f55backed Yes | 6c | 172.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 228 | 24.1%55 W · 173 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…f97cbacked No | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked No | 57c | 149.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked Yes | 31c | 147.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca71…cf3ebacked No | 60c | 147.15$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e50…98f0backed Yes | 12c | 143.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 330 | 27.9%92 W · 238 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes | 13c | 142.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 186 | 18.3%34 W · 152 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb631…8a87backed Yes | 20c | 136.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 89 | 16.9%15 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 9c | 131.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe183…3e16backed No | 60c | 130$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 23c | 129.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c28…1041backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 78c | 107.49$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x411b…a821backed No | 66c | 105.81$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 24c | 102.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…b15cbacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…ee3ebacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477b…7b63backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7023…b538backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…f714backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2796…e282backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 80c | 99.89$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…54cfbacked Yes | 18c | 87.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 412 | 20.6%85 W · 327 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1e…ca35backed No | 61c | 83.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce8…ed83backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x624e…a482backed Yes | 40c | 68.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…4641backed Yes | 40c | 61.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 79c | 60.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x548a…b2ffbacked No | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…4cc9backed No | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 195 | 27.7%54 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.