Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50583002f272e7aad9a8504271c7dc33d7cbbdde13dfe4d593e2f764dac0bf9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48af…89ccbacked No | 73c | 10,876$7,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,897.47 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 177 | 2.3%4 W · 173 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +467.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 14c | 6,647$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 77c | 2,887$2,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.95 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7d…ac7fbacked Yes | 79c | 1,898$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 32c | 1,755$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.51 | 122 | 13.9%17 W · 105 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed Yes | 10c | 1,684$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 9cpaid | +299.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Yes | 40c | 1,683$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.04 | 233 | 21%49 W · 184 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…a85bbacked Yes | 54c | 1,493$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.09 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x294a…bbbabacked No | 62c | 1,404$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.7 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +210.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…7ca4backed No | 20c | 1,280$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +210.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…1ab3backed Yes | 1c | 1,250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 15c | 1,186$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.1 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 42c | 1,175$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.54 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa6…4094backed Yes | 38c | 1,141$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.73 | 307 | 14%43 W · 264 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e1…976dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 44c | 955.77$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.11 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 17c | 934$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.71 | 83 | 20.5%17 W · 66 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked Yes | 44c | 841.78$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.59 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…5c87backed Yes | 78c | 835$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +185.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 70c | 778.7$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked No | 41c | 774.52$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.61 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Yes | 13c | 762$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…6bd7backed No | 8c | 694.65$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.8 | 247 | 10.9%27 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 22c | 612.23$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.5 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 50c | 575.63$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.98 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 10c | 551.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes | 71c | 541.86$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.72 | 186 | 18.3%34 W · 152 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes | 7c | 529.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 504 | 5.2%26 W · 478 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff67…a1c9backed Yes | 71c | 516.16$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551b…dfd1backed No | 25c | 431.95$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 56c | 429.2$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.96 | 195 | 50.3%98 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 10c | 412$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda9e…ac09backed Yes | 78c | 393.56$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec9…75c7backed Yes | 69c | 387.92$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2205…8089backed Yes | 13c | 381.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 19c | 351.24$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.7 | 169 | 69.2%117 W · 52 L | +17.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 15c | 351$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.08 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed No | 42c | 350$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.81 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 39c | 341.91$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.1 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Yes | 19c | 328.65$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 417 | 18%75 W · 342 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 59c | 320.25$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.42 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c98…6f55backed Yes | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.87 | 228 | 24.1%55 W · 173 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8710…f9c7backed No | 77c | 276.98$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…7014backed Yes | 38c | 276$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 42c | 274.06$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.07 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b3…0568backed No | 77c | 266.92$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x266a…90c3backed Yes | 74c | 252.78$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…715abacked Yes | 68c | 234.81$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.32 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 8c | 213.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 8c | 210.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 491 | 6.7%33 W · 458 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…b8f3backed Yes | 8c | 208.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 78c | 208.35$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.91 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd379…87a8backed Yes | 78c | 204.66$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9484…a173backed Yes | 11c | 200.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 400 | 16.8%67 W · 333 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5352…8892backed No | 71c | 200$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 63c | 195$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.33 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +108%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 7c | 189.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 133 | 15.8%21 W · 112 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 22c | 184.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.97 | 89 | 15.7%14 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…978dbacked Yes | 59c | 174.22$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.94 | 100 | 32%32 W · 68 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…df4cbacked Yes | 77c | 150$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…f36fbacked Yes | 71c | 150$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d0…af08backed No | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d98dbacked No | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9027…c975backed No | 43c | 150$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…30b5backed No | 9c | 150$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +190.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f80…7a52backed No | 8c | 148.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.74 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked No | 17c | 142.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.9 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbd…2bfbbacked Yes | 40c | 141.84$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2872…505abacked Yes | 62c | 140.04$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 8c | 138.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 211 | 4.7%10 W · 201 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c5…227dbacked Yes | 67c | 135$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…9134backed Yes | 78c | 130$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2434…05eabacked Yes | 9c | 122$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 12cpaid | +188.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 14c | 118.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…9c59backed No | 77c | 116.69$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 53c | 107.08$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 235 | 41.3%97 W · 138 L | -29.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 15c | 102.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x665d…5bd3backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -69%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc37b…9b85backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d5…1995backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477b…7b63backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked No | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf6…d8a6backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…ffa9backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +220.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69a4…0d38backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369c…1006backed Yes | 80c | 95.12$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…f599backed Yes | 68c | 95$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f9…603dbacked No | 25c | 94.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b84…9ba4backed No | 33c | 92.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed Yes | 67c | 86.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…7859backed Yes | 71c | 84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…8b8ebacked Yes | 76c | 82.78$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.95 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 67c | 79.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e7…7c61backed No | 31c | 78.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6464…7899backed No | 38c | 78.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…935fbacked No | 18c | 72.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7085…a5fbbacked No | 63c | 71.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 27c | 70.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 788 | 11.5%91 W · 697 L | -33.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.