Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x305e1f738541880a3d417e3414ad101957459b88f3f11c3f24806c62f3b32f14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48af…89ccbacked Yes | 35c | 4,217$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760.85 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 75c | 2,050$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 18c | 1,753$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.62 | 1,041 | 11%115 W · 926 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 19c | 1,647$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.31 | 122 | 13.9%17 W · 105 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 1c | 1,516$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.53 | 276 | 7.2%20 W · 256 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 30c | 1,514$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.45 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 26c | 1,471$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.42 | 774 | 21.7%168 W · 606 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 19c | 1,281$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.53 | 2,576 | 13.2%339 W · 2,237 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Yes | 28c | 1,123$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.73 | 233 | 21%49 W · 184 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e1…976dbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc537…f385backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 285 | 9.1%26 W · 259 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339e…be97backed Yes | 23c | 999.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…09f6backed Yes | 62c | 955.04$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.34 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…5c87backed Yes | 4c | 835$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.14 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +185.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked Yes | 20c | 795.5$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.07 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…715abacked Yes | 68c | 647.88$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.88 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 58c | 605$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.56 | 169 | 69.2%117 W · 52 L | +17.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…6bd7backed Yes | 8c | 583.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.55 | 247 | 10.9%27 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 16c | 551.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.65 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f80…7a52backed No | 10c | 528.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…cad0backed No | 5c | 520.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe42f…8c01backed No | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 8c | 480.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 118 | 9.3%11 W · 107 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…23c3backed Yes | 20c | 453$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +216.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes | 15c | 450$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.6 | 504 | 5.2%26 W · 478 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 19c | 412.29$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.6 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 407.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.53 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 8c | 382.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 121 | 14%17 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Yes | 80c | 374.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.18 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d6…63a7backed Yes | 3c | 356.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 3cpaid | +1,677%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes | 7c | 353.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.22 | 186 | 18.3%34 W · 152 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…7a45backed No | 12c | 349.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 16c | 331.91$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.85 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c9…af45backed No | 80c | 318$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb631…8a87backed Yes | 21c | 312.93$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.75 | 89 | 16.9%15 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 7c | 268.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.35 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…23f2backed No | 22c | 257.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…b8f3backed Yes | 22c | 254$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.3 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…7014backed Yes | 7c | 250.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 23c | 241.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.33 | 388 | 30.2%117 W · 271 L | -21.5wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 70c | 233.33$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.39 | 195 | 50.3%98 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8063…c199backed No | 9c | 230.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…23f6backed Yes | 19c | 225$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa6…4094backed Yes | 24c | 204.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.32 | 307 | 14%43 W · 264 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1e…f6f7backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa598…2ff3backed Yes | 13c | 199.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9484…a173backed Yes | 16c | 199.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.13 | 406 | 16.7%68 W · 338 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9486…eecdbacked No | 13c | 197.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 52c | 186.54$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Yes | 20c | 175$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 417 | 18%75 W · 342 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a9…5976backed No | 21c | 173.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…d567backed No | 73c | 172.25$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…978dbacked Yes | 65c | 169.04$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 100 | 32%32 W · 68 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 27c | 161.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…5972backed No | 39c | 158.36$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes | 15c | 153.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.13 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…5616backed No | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…552fbacked No | 22c | 136.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…1796backed No | 80c | 135$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…73febacked Yes | 15c | 132.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.54 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 16c | 129.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.79 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 22c | 123.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.85 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ba…4586backed Yes | 53c | 120$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed Yes | 9c | 111.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.67 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x624e…a482backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ce…3c44backed No | 27c | 103.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x149f…d306backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477b…7b63backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff67…a1c9backed Yes | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 234 | 64.5%151 W · 83 L | +23.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 50c | 96.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x540a…64c9backed Yes | 17c | 94.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 32c | 93.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.03 | 250 | 32.4%81 W · 169 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91be…2641backed Yes | 21c | 92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…3b33backed No | 79c | 92$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 15c | 90.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.23 | 526 | 45.6%240 W · 286 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…5066backed Yes | 12c | 88.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.74 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 87.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.72 | 788 | 11.5%91 W · 697 L | -33.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 23c | 84.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 813 | 35.7%290 W · 523 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5742…5e12backed No | 78c | 78.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8092…b8a2backed No | 26c | 78.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bd…ceaabacked No | 43c | 78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 24c | 75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 158 | 19%30 W · 128 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e0…f9c0backed Yes | 17c | 70$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9676…4374backed No | 75c | 62.32$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5f…1201backed Yes | 80c | 59.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Yes | 21c | 54.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7da…e4bbbacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83bc…78fbbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f10…fd8dbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +154.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…e7e2backed No | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23eb…c516backed No | 50c | 38.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…6efebacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…5409backed No | 47c | 24.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.