AI · resolved market
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4926438a8bcd51e07989a94a7efafff86a0c66101a5f0f51dc0a252425c41b4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $237,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $270,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a51…006ebacked Yes | 29c | 44,431$12,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,449 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f6…25a1backed No | 51c | 43,527$22,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,208.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…eb28backed Yes | 55c | 19,389$10,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,691.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…22c7backed Yes | 27c | 14,003$3,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,260.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfa…b490backed Yes | 30c | 8,803$2,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,144.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f6…6300backed Yes | 40c | 7,358$2,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,382.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 59c | 5,995$3,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,558.92 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked No | 43c | 5,910$2,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,524.93 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 30c | 5,703$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.77 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed No | 51c | 5,435$2,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,768.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…c234backed No | 68c | 5,355$3,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,617.88 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes | 49c | 4,790$2,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433.32 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912b…4c57backed Yes | 66c | 4,128$2,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad12…b115backed No | 79c | 4,110$3,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,248.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb783…1a78backed Yes | 66c | 3,853$2,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 55c | 3,241$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x468a…3b4bbacked Yes | 59c | 3,213$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…3b3dbacked Yes | 24c | 3,108$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…a8a9backed No | 72c | 3,100$2,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222.8 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a01…7c0abacked No | 47c | 3,000$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 42c | 3,000$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.5 | 114 | 25.4%29 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf9…2ebfbacked Yes | 37c | 2,903$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 7c | 2,815$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.87 | 55 | 10.9%6 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf1…0c3cbacked Yes | 40c | 2,785$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +147.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 15c | 2,729$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.39 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d6…b213backed No | 46c | 2,615$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2282…73e8backed No | 68c | 2,576$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.13 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2c…7f01backed Yes | 31c | 2,443$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cc…303abacked Yes | 70c | 2,337$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 51c | 2,117$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.32 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 68c | 2,036$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.51 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd17…fd3ebacked Yes | 65c | 1,996$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…7b4dbacked No | 77c | 1,700$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ed…25a4backed No | 4c | 1,600$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +126.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 41c | 1,438$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.91 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03aa…63fbbacked Yes | 16c | 1,214$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +204.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 61c | 1,186$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.18 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ec…9782backed No | 53c | 1,184$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 55c | 1,149$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.87 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 9c | 1,113$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.22 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 45c | 1,080$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.42 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb82…0318backed Yes | 53c | 1,041$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.5 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4624…0a84backed No | 55c | 1,035$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 45c | 932.54$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.17 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked No | 39c | 900$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.7 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 50c | 885$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.38 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 80c | 846.99$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.23 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 38c | 843.13$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.36 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 34c | 772$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.34 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba9…8784backed Yes | 60c | 752.15$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed No | 55c | 720.92$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…9cb9backed Yes | 56c | 713.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.01 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.56per pick | 28cpaid | +338.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 50c | 648.75$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.04 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 41c | 600$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.2 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 27c | 581.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.42 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08c…91e9backed Yes | 50c | 544.35$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.63 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15df…7b17backed Yes | 39c | 541.25$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +157.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1b…7676backed No | 66c | 521.36$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.35 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 21c | 488.21$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.36 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 67c | 475.98$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.16 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c29…7570backed No | 40c | 475.21$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb133…94fbbacked Yes | 16c | 443.18$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +141%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 58c | 430$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.99 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…179abacked No | 42c | 422.79$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.4 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 18c | 417.69$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.21 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…4682backed Yes | 11c | 406.41$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.11 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4615…5ccbbacked No | 74c | 386.43$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 74c | 379.9$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.42 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 39c | 369.19$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.91 | 111 | 24.3%27 W · 84 L | -16.1wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…9f9fbacked No | 35c | 349$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.42 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 79c | 338.23$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.78 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 36c | 312.12$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.07 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0760backed No | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked No | 39c | 300$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd75…d61dbacked No | 66c | 298.06$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdad7…005abacked Yes | 21c | 290$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.44 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d52…f88abacked Yes | 61c | 282.06$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.21 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…3b85backed No | 80c | 259.87$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd296…084dbacked No | 76c | 247.52$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 10c | 239$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.41 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked Yes | 63c | 222$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.14 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 17c | 209.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.37 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…8f40backed No | 66c | 208.53$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.44 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…15d8backed No | 80c | 208.38$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…b1debacked No | 60c | 202.29$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 61c | 201.16$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.79 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 33c | 200$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…8a6abacked Yes | 17c | 200$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +381.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…0ddfbacked No | 79c | 174.5$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 78c | 170.22$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.22 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 80c | 169.96$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.75 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…e1afbacked Yes | 59c | 168.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.35 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 40cpaid | +452.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 29c | 167.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.93 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 15c | 167$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.19 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x039b…9b6cbacked No | 67c | 159$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.37 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…4c3abacked No | 61c | 157$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 47c | 145$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93e2…92b9backed Yes | 14c | 133.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.76 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55bc…52d8backed No | 70c | 132.9$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 53c | 131$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.82 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026this page
- Will Tesla deliver between 300000 and 325000 vehicles in Q2 2026No won
- Will Tesla deliver between 325000 and 350000 vehicles in Q2 2026No won
- Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q2 2026No won
- Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q2 2026No won
- Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026No won
- Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026No won
- Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.