AI · resolved market
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb98ca5f27a851fd490082e9d3f3058e9a8cf0266ec207854395693015acbd293
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05f6…25a1backed Yes | 12c | 10,097$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…b65fbacked Yes | 9c | 5,077$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.16 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 14cpaid | +164.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d6…b213backed Yes | 33c | 4,127$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.03 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 80c | 2,014$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.25 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 50c | 1,765$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.16 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a51…006ebacked No | 66c | 1,523$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2282…73e8backed Yes | 38c | 1,510$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.58 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62f6…6300backed Yes | 51c | 1,188$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…c234backed Yes | 44c | 1,175$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.64 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…6643backed Yes | 42c | 1,090$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.77 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed3…7ad4backed Yes | 8c | 1,078$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc6…1fc1backed No | 80c | 1,010$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.17 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9617…2f8ebacked Yes | 26c | 979.38$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 77c | 958.36$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.12 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 15c | 951.16$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 78c | 935.35$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 67c | 880$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…891fbacked Yes | 18c | 865$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea7…2550backed Yes | 18c | 853$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.54 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725c…34e4backed Yes | 25c | 799.84$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 74c | 780$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.63 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…f3a5backed No | 80c | 759.82$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2111…667fbacked No | 78c | 728$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…e1babacked Yes | 22c | 728$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.16 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…a8a9backed Yes | 42c | 628.96$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.75 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 75c | 592.17$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.79 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 74c | 588.16$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.21 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…4682backed Yes | 13c | 481.42$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.56 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4734…60b1backed Yes | 44c | 459.14$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.3 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 11c | 417.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…22c7backed No | 72c | 381.85$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Yes | 8c | 359.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 54c | 340.73$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…3dc2backed Yes | 31c | 322.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 24c | 310.14$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.63 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 74c | 308.78$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.12 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6568…978ebacked Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.3 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8a8abacked Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…73acbacked Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked Yes | 7c | 297$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdad7…005abacked Yes | 15c | 290$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…4c3abacked Yes | 9c | 271.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 70c | 234.78$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.81 | 894 | 17.1%153 W · 741 L | -145.2wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 11c | 198.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 18c | 167.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4191…569fbacked Yes | 47c | 153.24$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x039b…9b6cbacked Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…8332backed Yes | 13c | 149.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9b…a68cbacked Yes | 23c | 145$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed Yes | 42c | 135.76$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 53c | 135.29$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.05 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2296…4911backed Yes | 19c | 123.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 42c | 121.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…64a7backed Yes | 43c | 112.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…6583backed Yes | 47c | 107.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 53c | 106.52$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 23c | 105.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbc…0402backed Yes | 21c | 95.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed No | 63c | 95.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…9f9fbacked Yes | 15c | 92.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 28c | 90.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 77c | 88.28$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 79c | 87.12$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 28c | 83.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 22c | 81.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 111 | 24.3%27 W · 84 L | -16.1wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9f72…22c7backed Yes | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd064…c4d1backed Yes | 17c | 78.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 28c | 76.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 56c | 76.73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked Yes | 30c | 75.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 14c | 73.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 68c | 70.46$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba19…bfc3backed Yes | 16c | 68.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd10d…8f16backed No | 63c | 62.45$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x007f…233abacked Yes | 59c | 60.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 18c | 57.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 251 | 22.7%57 W · 194 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…d28dbacked Yes | 49c | 56.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…76c5backed Yes | 24c | 46.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9da7…8d0fbacked Yes | 60c | 46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…dbebbacked No | 40c | 46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 25c | 41.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 49c | 40.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc81…e072backed Yes | 65c | 39.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 58c | 38.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf05…33e2backed No | 73c | 37.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe474…2c56backed Yes | 37c | 33.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 73c | 30.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 256 | 32.8%84 W · 172 L | -24.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ec…c80cbacked Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebf…6961backed Yes | 46c | 25.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 58c | 25.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 62c | 25.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 76c | 20.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87b3…1b0fbacked No | 67c | 19.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07f…33f8backed No | 67c | 19.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 61c | 17.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -65%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026this page
- Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026Yes won
- Will Tesla deliver between 300000 and 325000 vehicles in Q2 2026No won
- Will Tesla deliver between 325000 and 350000 vehicles in Q2 2026No won
- Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q2 2026No won
- Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q2 2026No won
- Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026No won
- Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.