TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0ed3…7ad4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Stocks, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Stocks at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT2572%18 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.81
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.71
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.35
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$12.39
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.58
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.97
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.96
England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.3
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$24.67
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$22.7
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$23.37
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$27.92
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$27.77
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.97
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.75
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$17.03
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$24.5
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$18.27
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$11.43
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$16.29
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.79
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$13.5
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 25 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick37cpaid+36.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Stocks — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $430-$435 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $435-$440 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+354.3%+$84.67
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 25 above $440?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 25 above $450?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $425-$430 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+139.1%+$40.34
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 18 above $420?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.61
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on May 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+116.7%+$22.17
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 11 above $440?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 on May 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+109.3%+$22.13
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $440 on May 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$13.24
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $400-$405 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 4 above $405?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$22.56
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $380-$385 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $390-$395 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+139.2%+$35.64
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$53.36
Will Tesla reach $420 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on April 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.89
All 17 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-29.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.45
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.98
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.5
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+219.7%+$43.95
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $690b on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+241.4%+$72.43
X Money released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+80.4%+$200.09
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.99
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.69
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$6.16
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+262.7%+$47.28
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.