Middle East · resolved market
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6877c37b1979ea7103945d797f54f1d2aef95bd9c732b3cce3a53d9a3a919920
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Yes | 61c | 6,622$4,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.97 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 77c | 5,157$3,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.9 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82c9…36fcbacked No | 41c | 4,680$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.79 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…aeecbacked No | 6c | 2,414$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.63 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 14c | 1,428$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 156 | 25%39 W · 117 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 24c | 1,420$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.94 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 24c | 1,364$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.24 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 8c | 1,316$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 197 | 39.1%77 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 10c | 1,254$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.64 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2b…a201backed No | 12c | 1,212$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.51 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…88fabacked No | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 10c | 797.09$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.35 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 10c | 748.26$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.45 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…73b0backed No | 13c | 708.25$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.67 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 38c | 619.68$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.5 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d99…4ca3backed No | 46c | 540.85$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.79 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 12c | 537.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.44 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 19c | 432.4$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.47 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2a…b7b5backed No | 28c | 409.33$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.36 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed No | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…2c21backed Yes | 54c | 385.87$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.54 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 47c | 378.72$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed No | 7c | 371.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed No | 47c | 334.68$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.9 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed No | 9c | 301.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd064…c4d1backed No | 22c | 299.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…220ebacked Yes | 29c | 275.96$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.55 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e29…a4a0backed No | 14c | 264.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 56c | 264$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.71 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…b8b2backed No | 57c | 250$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d4…8bf8backed Yes | 59c | 238.23$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 42c | 211.04$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.91 | 196 | 39.8%78 W · 118 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…c7bdbacked No | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0551…3d39backed No | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe487…7fdbbacked No | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea25…2a4fbacked No | 52c | 178.72$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93e2…92b9backed No | 10c | 167.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 9c | 166.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…c755backed Yes | 75c | 166.62$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 70c | 161.42$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.95 | 288 | 27.8%80 W · 208 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked No | 42c | 159.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…6530backed No | 18c | 154$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +158.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…ef60backed Yes | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…4ee9backed Yes | 53c | 127.92$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 52c | 126.68$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.81 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88cb…153bbacked Yes | 45c | 121.04$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 50c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 40c | 119.02$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.83 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…7d37backed Yes | 61c | 94.21$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…368abacked No | 60c | 84.34$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -11.4wins | -0.20per pick | 67cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed No | 73c | 80$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd58a…5448backed No | 20c | 66.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5a…aa7abacked Yes | 60c | 62.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +130.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 63c | 60.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 360 | 35.3%127 W · 233 L | -30.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 62c | 60.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63e0…4ca5backed Yes | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc31…3fe8backed No | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26e…cf82backed No | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 67cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2092…a752backed No | 71c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa810…854dbacked Yes | 43c | 58.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c90…17efbacked No | 53c | 55.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0799backed No | 56c | 50.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd7…96d3backed No | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 56c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d3…c14bbacked Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba3…9172backed No | 51c | 39.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9c…c182backed No | 47c | 36.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…0998backed No | 60c | 33.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac0…28ebbacked Yes | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc43…810dbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +143.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes | 40c | 30.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 173 | 59.5%103 W · 70 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x493c…6c24backed Yes | 54c | 28.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86dd…1af2backed No | 56c | 25.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 164 | 33.5%55 W · 109 L | -19.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 186 | 40.9%76 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…a10dbacked No | 58c | 22.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb23b…503fbacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e7…6065backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…868cbacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…94b4backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 171 | 29.2%50 W · 121 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe19…ec9fbacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?this page
- Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31?Yes won
- Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?Yes won
- Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?Yes won
- Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?Yes won
- Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.