Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6caff9e180bc8e25184b112d0bbea8dc53366acdfe352e5d7566abb687065a5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb93a…bb32backed No | 0c | 22,326$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c5…7a13backed No | 8c | 6,360$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 64c | 5,018$3,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.59 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…15a6backed No | 35c | 4,623$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a9…5d71backed No | 6c | 3,638$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…52f1backed Yes | 55c | 3,568$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.23 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502c…c96bbacked No | 6c | 3,387$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…7324backed No | 1c | 3,163$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked No | 4c | 3,079$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.11 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -47%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6beb…6ea2backed No | 34c | 3,000$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffe…4071backed Yes | 71c | 2,643$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.61 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…537ebacked No | 9c | 2,540$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 4c | 2,395$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.23 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…191abacked No | 5c | 2,300$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…9b80backed No | 9c | 2,226$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…3961backed No | 10c | 1,749$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.4 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed No | 11c | 1,681$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1552…1234backed Yes | 48c | 1,503$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 1,250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 13c | 1,230$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 7c | 1,229$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.63 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…d4a9backed No | 9c | 1,200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…67b5backed No | 10c | 1,137$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b89…84ffbacked No | 3c | 1,049$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 6c | 1,046$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 86 | 4.7%4 W · 82 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -87%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…6fa8backed No | 3c | 1,018$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8b…eb0bbacked No | 5c | 1,004$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…e122backed No | 9c | 1,000$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…886ebacked No | 10c | 981.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa733…b7dfbacked No | 10c | 980.2$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 17c | 931.75$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.03 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked No | 4c | 900$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 54 | 1.9%1 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -95%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed No | 4c | 900$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1431…a949backed No | 24c | 838.24$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.14 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +10.1wins | +0.28per pick | 53cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 4c | 820.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 172 | 32%55 W · 117 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 4c | 800$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -95.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee7…3ec8backed No | 3c | 785.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 7c | 759.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 2c | 758.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 85 | 10.6%9 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 21c | 734.45$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.7 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 4c | 702.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…b698backed No | 4c | 684.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d6…63a7backed No | 6c | 620.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 43c | 575.06$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.93 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…532fbacked No | 9c | 564.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…a140backed No | 8c | 518.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7370…c1abbacked No | 6c | 495.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 44c | 480.88$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.04 | 112 | 25.9%29 W · 83 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 69c | 475.28$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.75 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 3c | 467.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 130 | 2.3%3 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…a510backed No | 26c | 463.36$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d0…9e65backed No | 74c | 419.57$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.32 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49bd…82bebacked No | 4c | 410.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 8c | 409.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 103 | 9.7%10 W · 93 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked No | 27c | 400$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 22c | 395.23$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3c…e797backed No | 78c | 376.65$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 29c | 368.33$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.82 | 158 | 55.1%87 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x168e…f134backed No | 5c | 361.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba8…f383backed No | 3c | 339.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 54c | 334.42$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.74 | 294 | 16%47 W · 247 L | -53.7wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa872…9fe4backed No | 22c | 325$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 27cpaid | +135.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf27f…61dabacked No | 3c | 324.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc8…8f53backed No | 38c | 319.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 15c | 317.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…7d5ebacked No | 3c | 316.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…f824backed No | 10c | 307.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb62d…d7c5backed No | 3c | 300.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e58…4668backed No | 19c | 300$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +300%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7358…fb4bbacked No | 7c | 293.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e2…92b9backed No | 6c | 273.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7da…ebb4backed No | 7c | 252.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…c307backed No | 16c | 249.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x088c…1590backed No | 7c | 238.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2566…2f38backed No | 9c | 228.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…f0b6backed No | 7c | 221.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 77c | 218.7$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.4 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6561…c074backed No | 35c | 214.63$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.12 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ec…57d5backed No | 52c | 206.02$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.77 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0f…5441backed No | 5c | 203.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5709…22c3backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7232…ebd9backed No | 10c | 198.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2da…74e3backed Yes | 65c | 196.14$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.82 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9985…6afabacked No | 6c | 189.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c6d9backed No | 35c | 187.06$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.75 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…59abbacked No | 38c | 185.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…6e26backed No | 10c | 182.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0991…e29abacked Yes | 33c | 177.82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.58 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b7…0b0dbacked No | 39c | 175.23$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.1 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…2247backed No | 11c | 170.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…e1d8backed No | 21c | 168.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked Yes | 36c | 156.47$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.61 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85fe…51ffbacked No | 33c | 150$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…e0e9backed No | 9c | 136.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked No | 8c | 135.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc7…e039backed Yes | 35c | 123.54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.54 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed Yes | 49c | 122.96$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…6fcbbacked No | 68c | 118.54$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.54 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4e…9e0bbacked No | 33c | 118.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.