Us Midterms · resolved market

Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe368e5e6be50377d08d2af99c9ad18694aef2f3af9ccbf60b1146302c3ee3da1

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Aug 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $62,915
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $56,995

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,915 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes	28c	15,693$4,429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,428.71	151	50.3%76 W · 75 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98d0…f14abacked No	72c	10,540$7,633 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,907.04	143	56.6%81 W · 62 L	+18.5wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb1ca…1705backed No	71c	9,061$6,436 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,624.77	80	42.5%34 W · 46 L	+6.6wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	+40.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed Yes	9c	6,226$578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$577.97	50	44%22 W · 28 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	1c	2,850$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.35	26	0%0 W · 26 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2128…f203backed No	30c	2,839$866 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,973.76	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+2.7wins	+0.27per pick	23cpaid	+91.5%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa43d…00f4backed Yes	28c	2,422$676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$676.24	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes	24c	1,042$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.71	75	34.7%26 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	35c	917.22$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.85	334	21.9%73 W · 261 L	-23.8wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-35%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3080…337bbacked Yes	44c	778.16$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.37	50	30%15 W · 35 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6aa…178ebacked Yes	54c	693.48$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.59	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes	10c	600$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	228	33.8%77 W · 151 L	+13.7wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12e4…dfc2backed Yes	17c	589.59$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.21	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes	67c	504.69$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.55	154	31.2%48 W · 106 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed Yes	26c	495.75$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.23	86	38.4%33 W · 53 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes	35c	474.47$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.13	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-3.1wins	-0.24per pick	31cpaid	-88.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x268f…bbd7backed Yes	27c	470.37$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x167a…91d5backed Yes	28c	440$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.2	63	11.1%7 W · 56 L	-8.4wins	-0.13per pick	24cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	42c	438.14$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.41	332	38.6%128 W · 204 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-30%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes	17c	427.09$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.33	196	31.1%61 W · 135 L	-7.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes	18c	425.68$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.42	61	41%25 W · 36 L	+6.2wins	+0.10per pick	31cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc624…ee24backed Yes	28c	380.6$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.57	63	55.6%35 W · 28 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed No	62c	374.95$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.48	30	40%12 W · 18 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes	69c	371$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.99	85	41.2%35 W · 50 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe468…9f4cbacked Yes	68c	350$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Yes	5c	340.87$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.06	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	41c	338.67$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.79	136	25.7%35 W · 101 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-30%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe40a…e4a2backed No	77c	336.67$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.02	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae0…b747backed Yes	29c	333.71$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.4	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xeed8…35f0backed Yes	29c	313$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.27	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes	32c	306$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.78	126	43.7%55 W · 71 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes	46c	305.52$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.38	74	37.8%28 W · 46 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x808a…ef3fbacked No	57c	302$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.86	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+3.9wins	+0.18per pick	37cpaid	+125.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd8d5…8935backed No	71c	300$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb477…673ebacked No	71c	296.06$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.06	37	73%27 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	70cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce4d…d0e2backed Yes	39c	278.42$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.63	74	37.8%28 W · 46 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes	40c	273.15$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.54	100	34%34 W · 66 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	43c	271$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.18	315	34%107 W · 208 L	-11.6wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes	36c	250.75$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.5	85	35.3%30 W · 55 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x897a…4194backed Yes	44c	246.05$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.1	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	+5.9wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes	32c	244.92$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.91	93	26.9%25 W · 68 L	-8.2wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked No	74c	244$181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.44	67	50.7%34 W · 33 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	55c	237.29$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.17	343	33.5%115 W · 228 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-30%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed No	57c	236$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.02	180	41.1%74 W · 106 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes	70c	200$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	85	50.6%43 W · 42 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81ab…799abacked Yes	27c	193.5$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.25	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No	62c	185.6$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.76	136	47.1%64 W · 72 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No	56c	185.52$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.49	120	49.2%59 W · 61 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No	73c	185$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.52	131	43.5%57 W · 74 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	43c	184.65$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.61	248	31%77 W · 171 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	78c	180.52$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.57	83	32.5%27 W · 56 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes	47c	176$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.58	74	47.3%35 W · 39 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5529…e5b9backed Yes	56c	164.66$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.16	229	48.9%112 W · 117 L	+7.7wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No	75c	159.99$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.76	74	51.4%38 W · 36 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55f3…1a88backed Yes	58c	157.8$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.14	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes	49c	152.02$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.3	123	30.9%38 W · 85 L	-10.0wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7428…1d56backed Yes	60c	147.94$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.76	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed No	62c	142$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.78	78	52.6%41 W · 37 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed Yes	48c	136.66$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.6	272	22.1%60 W · 212 L	-15.0wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5446…18f6backed Yes	53c	136.66$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.43	60	38.3%23 W · 37 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb5f…c111backed Yes	27c	134$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.13	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x065d…a672backed Yes	20c	132.55$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.6	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x039b…9b6cbacked Yes	42c	130$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.6	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-2.8wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x85ee…a64abacked Yes	42c	124$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.79	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd24b…ef76backed Yes	51c	122$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.81	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc329…6a58backed Yes	27c	120$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No	69c	118.76$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.52	669	14.8%99 W · 570 L	-105.6wins	-0.16per pick	31cpaid	-66%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	11c	113.05$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.19	182	3.8%7 W · 175 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-50%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	40c	112.18$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.67	210	33.3%70 W · 140 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd9c…be4dbacked Yes	39c	102.48$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.97	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf453…a674backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.12per pick	42cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e07…0439backed Yes	70c	100$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	57c	92.22$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.5	87	40.2%35 W · 52 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b73…174ebacked No	56c	88.92$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.12	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x664b…3b26backed Yes	68c	88$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.22	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb924…0803backed Yes	47c	86$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.03	48	33.3%16 W · 32 L	-7.4wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3872…bb1dbacked No	56c	85.78$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.74	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x270b…e632backed No	71c	83.41$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.19	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cc0…04c0backed No	46c	80$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.2	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.20per pick	31cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	16c	73$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.97	495	11.5%57 W · 438 L	-17.6wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf83e…4663backed No	71c	72.9$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.99	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca75…0a64backed No	72c	70$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9129…dd8ebacked Yes	28c	70$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93e2…92b9backed Yes	14c	69.94$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbba6…3486backed Yes	27c	67.8$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No	70c	66.81$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.04	100	48%48 W · 52 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c45…b9c7backed Yes	70c	63.92$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.74	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.70per pick	70cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	69c	62.81$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.47	147	29.9%44 W · 103 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f4…972bbacked Yes	70c	60.6$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.42	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.70per pick	70cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked No	29c	60$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.6	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	-14%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x065b…714fbacked No	44c	59$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.04	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+27%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x439b…58babacked Yes	70c	58.83$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.70per pick	70cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x815a…af37backed No	56c	58.48$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.73	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7ec…e53abacked No	58c	58$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.36	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+2.8wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc036…7feabacked Yes	48c	58$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.84	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf05…33e2backed No	74c	55$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.07	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb23…8189backed Yes	42c	55$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.1	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2108…d3ddbacked No	58c	54.63$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.94	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-49.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf257…1950backed No	29c	51.45$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.53	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a20…89d2backed Yes	45c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?this page
Will Ben Butler be the Republican nominee for FL-09?No won
Will Dan Green be the Republican nominee for FL-09?Yes won
Will Howard Steven Rance be the Republican nominee for FL-09?No won
Will Jorge Malavet be the Republican nominee for FL-09?No won
Will Jorge Martinez be the Republican nominee for FL-09?No won
Will Justin Story be the Republican nominee for FL-09?No won
Will Marcus Carter be the Republican nominee for FL-09?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event