Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Ben Butler be the Republican nominee for FL-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2b0c93903a116cc841c2be960d4f5309153d4b93d6901f69a82f34259365770
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9648…6825backed No | 72c | 13,156$9,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,749.37 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +215.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 29c | 5,328$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.19 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed Yes | 33c | 5,316$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.56 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 22c | 4,515$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.42 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…686bbacked Yes | 31c | 3,794$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.61 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +219.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 18c | 2,171$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.93 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 29c | 2,143$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.82 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…1614backed Yes | 30c | 2,000$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.73 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…f022backed No | 52c | 1,919$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.39 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +114%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 66c | 1,505$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.53 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6c…e2d8backed Yes | 43c | 1,150$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.98 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 38c | 999.95$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.58 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 50c | 747$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.51 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…f203backed Yes | 3c | 602.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 76c | 541.28$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.57 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Yes | 33c | 509.71$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.64 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 49c | 499.96$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.98 | 314 | 34.1%107 W · 207 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 74c | 489.15$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.54 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 65c | 462.07$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.44 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 53c | 434.86$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.62 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 46c | 372.61$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.42 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…4194backed No | 52c | 367.24$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.05 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed Yes | 32c | 342.63$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 16cpaid | +653.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae0…b747backed Yes | 42c | 324.04$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.62 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 68c | 305.08$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.17 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 32c | 266$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.82 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed No | 64c | 257.58$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.44 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 78c | 243.76$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 32c | 241.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.43 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 71c | 209$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.74 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 68c | 202.43$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.38 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d32…e863backed No | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 69c | 170$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x738a…5996backed No | 52c | 169.23$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.23 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 72c | 159.8$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x054d…97c5backed Yes | 25c | 148.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384f…58adbacked Yes | 53c | 148.15$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 53c | 144.39$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.87 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 54c | 137.88$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.73 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x740f…a87ebacked No | 57c | 135.86$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5f…c111backed Yes | 50c | 134$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 67c | 107$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…337bbacked Yes | 30c | 95.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 54c | 95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf44…74d8backed Yes | 53c | 94.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…48afbacked No | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 55c | 89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 79c | 88$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed Yes | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 50c | 79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -10.6wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…8cdcbacked Yes | 52c | 79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 42c | 77.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a82…abeabacked No | 59c | 74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +101.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 63c | 68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 55c | 67.03$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…bf6cbacked Yes | 31c | 63.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 51c | 62.81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked No | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c74…c5e3backed Yes | 31c | 59.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 34c | 52.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be4…8477backed No | 78c | 50.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e48…1bf2backed Yes | 52c | 47.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…d2ebbacked Yes | 52c | 44.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed No | 67c | 40.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…0a10backed Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83f4…c2a8backed No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 79c | 39.81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 95 | 78.9%75 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 74cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 57c | 39.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb4…b673backed No | 67c | 36.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079c…363fbacked Yes | 31c | 35.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…6c51backed No | 67c | 35.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b33…3134backed Yes | 58c | 34.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0518…5da2backed No | 50c | 33.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…492cbacked No | 71c | 32.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 59c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…f3b1backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13c…fc9bbacked No | 63c | 29.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7928…6c26backed No | 47c | 25.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9129…dd8ebacked No | 60c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ec8cbacked No | 70c | 21.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb141…aa3bbacked No | 73c | 20.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea8…6256backed No | 75c | 20.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce98…5614backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 62cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x321e…9292backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…799dbacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0479…8177backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12f5…5ac4backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ben Butler be the Republican nominee for FL-09?this page
- Will Dan Green be the Republican nominee for FL-09?Yes won
- Will Howard Steven Rance be the Republican nominee for FL-09?No won
- Will Jorge Malavet be the Republican nominee for FL-09?No won
- Will Jorge Martinez be the Republican nominee for FL-09?No won
- Will Justin Story be the Republican nominee for FL-09?No won
- Will Marcus Carter be the Republican nominee for FL-09?No won
- Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.