Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: VARREL vs Global Esports (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x634cbdf74c806eddb2f449b0ea9d940d197cc7e789dbd9e3d4c4f3df4362b844
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Global Esportsof VARREL, Global Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5227…4279backed Global Esports | 37c | 1,310$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed VARREL | 4c | 1,041$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0143backed Global Esports | 37c | 940$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d1…d768backed VARREL | 63c | 940$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed VARREL | 61c | 857$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.77 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +11.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…779abacked Global Esports | 37c | 820$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +91%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…87acbacked Global Esports | 37c | 790$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e7…9de7backed Global Esports | 37c | 730$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Global Esports | 71c | 707.85$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.38 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd183…ebffbacked Global Esports | 37c | 650$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Global Esports | 56c | 626.86$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.34 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d37…568dbacked Global Esports | 37c | 570$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked VARREL | 11c | 531.01$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed VARREL | 60c | 528.85$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.31 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked VARREL | 20c | 526$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.2 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…bdddbacked VARREL | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed VARREL | 18c | 499.98$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 220 | 18.2%40 W · 180 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked VARREL | 57c | 488.92$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f74…63c5backed VARREL | 63c | 480$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ea…d9babacked VARREL | 63c | 470$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae2…897dbacked VARREL | 63c | 460$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e6…cbe7backed VARREL | 63c | 445$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Global Esports | 53c | 415$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.17 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed VARREL | 21c | 406.6$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.47 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55f9…70ebbacked VARREL | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4c…9f09backed VARREL | 63c | 390$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Global Esports | 39c | 386.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.38 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Global Esports | 39c | 377.37$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.9 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Global Esports | 40c | 374.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.46 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac0…b014backed VARREL | 63c | 370$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…0150backed VARREL | 63c | 350$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d39…9b8dbacked VARREL | 63c | 345$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed VARREL | 25c | 335.75$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.9 | 266 | 34.6%92 W · 174 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87c3…faf2backed VARREL | 63c | 330$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b6…4eddbacked Global Esports | 39c | 261.41$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Global Esports | 36c | 259.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.19 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6c…4f6fbacked VARREL | 50c | 242.26$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Global Esports | 54c | 212.29$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed VARREL | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked VARREL | 50c | 198.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 60.6%63 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked VARREL | 8c | 188$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102d…ff61backed VARREL | 33c | 184.25$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…b3b0backed VARREL | 63c | 180$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed VARREL | 63c | 157.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71e8…bcc7backed VARREL | 63c | 150$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed Global Esports | 69c | 145.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacde…2f88backed Global Esports | 40c | 125.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked VARREL | 53c | 119.15$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Global Esports | 35c | 102.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 196 | 55.6%109 W · 87 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed VARREL | 27c | 93.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1445…614abacked VARREL | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Global Esports | 64c | 80.65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed VARREL | 29c | 77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed VARREL | 52c | 73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed VARREL | 63c | 58.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a5…0a8fbacked Global Esports | 40c | 53.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed VARREL | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Global Esports | 35c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb898…2c45backed Global Esports | 47c | 44.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Global Esports | 46c | 40.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb108…7212backed VARREL | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Global Esports | 34c | 34.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc022…3da2backed VARREL | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa150…1435backed Global Esports | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a3…ce05backed VARREL | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed VARREL | 49c | 30.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Global Esports | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca1d…9782backed Global Esports | 38c | 28.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…d865backed Global Esports | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…b0ffbacked VARREL | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: VARREL vs Global Esports (BO3)this page
- Global Esports to win 0 maps?No won
- Global Esports to win 1 maps?No won
- Global Esports to win 2 maps?Yes won
- VARREL to win 0 maps?Yes won
- VARREL to win 1 maps?No won
- VARREL to win 2 maps?No won
- Valorant: VARREL vs Global Esports - Map 1 WinnerGlobal Esports won
- Valorant: VARREL vs Global Esports - Map 2 WinnerGlobal Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.