Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Hamad Medjedovic vs Alex de Minaur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ff943ade672910ed4d4aada6d7a7c27be95b31bd0d66d48375f020b5c7698e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minaurof Medjedovic, Minaur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $326,614
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $361,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $326,614 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5877…d894backed Medjedovic | 16c | 31,588$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.91 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Medjedovic | 12c | 22,800$2,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,736 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Medjedovic | 15c | 20,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Medjedovic | 18c | 17,401$3,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,121.58 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Medjedovic | 1c | 10,610$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.73 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +66%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Medjedovic | 12c | 9,548$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.5 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Medjedovic | 14c | 8,399$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.54 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Medjedovic | 14c | 8,307$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.93 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Medjedovic | 12c | 8,214$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.51 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Medjedovic | 20c | 7,879$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577 | 331 | 56.2%186 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Medjedovic | 13c | 7,809$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.65 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Medjedovic | 12c | 5,669$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.88 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Medjedovic | 14c | 5,650$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.37 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfab5…9878backed Medjedovic | 20c | 4,833$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Medjedovic | 7c | 3,837$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.67 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Medjedovic | 10c | 3,568$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.25 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Medjedovic | 15c | 3,492$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.93 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Minaur | 74c | 3,079$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.34 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee3…cfc9backed Medjedovic | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Medjedovic | 1c | 2,563$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Minaur | 74c | 2,088$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.61 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Medjedovic | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Medjedovic | 19c | 1,890$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.01 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Medjedovic | 12c | 1,770$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.1 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…e904backed Minaur | 80c | 1,759$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.54 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Minaur | 76c | 1,659$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.57 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Medjedovic | 20c | 1,618$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.6 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Minaur | 69c | 1,600$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 260 | 45.4%118 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Medjedovic | 19c | 1,490$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.27 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Medjedovic | 14c | 1,400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.06 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed Minaur | 75c | 1,338$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.28 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…432cbacked Minaur | 75c | 1,300$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…7dcebacked Medjedovic | 26c | 1,129$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -6.2wins | -0.25per pick | 33cpaid | -77%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Medjedovic | 26c | 998.61$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.64 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Medjedovic | 13c | 992.15$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.31 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb8…5466backed Medjedovic | 21c | 955.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e9…e33ebacked Medjedovic | 19c | 905.74$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.54 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +166%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Medjedovic | 14c | 902$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.28 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Medjedovic | 25c | 881.63$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.95 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…05b1backed Minaur | 76c | 843$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.99 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed Minaur | 77c | 749.98$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.99 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Medjedovic | 14c | 729.93$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.19 | 1,634 | 50%817 W · 817 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Medjedovic | 19c | 717.7$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.15 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Medjedovic | 21c | 704$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.71 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Minaur | 76c | 658.21$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.97 | 623 | 45.4%283 W · 340 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Medjedovic | 17c | 648.06$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.17 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Medjedovic | 9c | 580$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Medjedovic | 19c | 529.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 357 | 30.5%109 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c38…0efdbacked Medjedovic | 14c | 504.91$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Minaur | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Minaur | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Medjedovic | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Medjedovic | 15c | 499.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Minaur | 71c | 492.96$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.96 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…c18cbacked Medjedovic | 10c | 482.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Medjedovic | 21c | 480.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fc…3e7fbacked Minaur | 72c | 417.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf3…3bf8backed Medjedovic | 11c | 400$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Minaur | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…6040backed Medjedovic | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Medjedovic | 14c | 372.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.43 | 2,332 | 46.6%1,087 W · 1,245 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Medjedovic | 14c | 369.93$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Minaur | 72c | 352$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.56 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Minaur | 77c | 348.95$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.76 | 136 | 52.9%72 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Medjedovic | 14c | 345$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Medjedovic | 23c | 342.13$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.62 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Medjedovic | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62d0…27d9backed Medjedovic | 13c | 324.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…15e5backed Minaur | 72c | 320.99$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.74 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c01…d612backed Minaur | 79c | 300$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Medjedovic | 6c | 300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 108 | 9.3%10 W · 98 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Medjedovic | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 425 | 58.8%250 W · 175 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…6c77backed Medjedovic | 13c | 247.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Medjedovic | 11c | 209.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…6d9cbacked Minaur | 71c | 201.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Medjedovic | 20c | 200.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Minaur | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc391…6cc8backed Medjedovic | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Medjedovic | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 750 | 46.8%351 W · 399 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Medjedovic | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe61…4c28backed Medjedovic | 17c | 175.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Medjedovic | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 191 | 29.8%57 W · 134 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Medjedovic | 26c | 154.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Medjedovic | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Medjedovic | 7c | 142$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Minaur | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2911…fed6backed Minaur | 74c | 125.66$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 17 | 94.1%16 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.23per pick | 72cpaid | +29%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Medjedovic | 15c | 108.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Medjedovic | 15c | 102.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -16.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Medjedovic | 14c | 100.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Medjedovic | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e39…ec6bbacked Minaur | 80c | 98.03$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…d4b0backed Medjedovic | 15c | 92.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Minaur | 72c | 90.57$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Minaur | 76c | 89.67$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 1,444 | 48.8%705 W · 739 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Medjedovic | 17c | 85.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Medjedovic | 22c | 81.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4,411 | 51.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L | +137.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e72…b2febacked Minaur | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Medjedovic | 15c | 79.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Minaur | 74c | 73.42$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Hamad Medjedovic vs Alex de Minaurthis page
- Medjedovic vs. Minaur: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Medjedovic vs MinaurMedjedovic won
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-2.5) vs Medjedovic (+2.5)Medjedovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.