Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fnatic vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x471f4ba3c7497d18aee85c52c7969cd84fc7054cf04c3bee28f93cbbeead9cc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BBL Esportsof Fnatic, BBL Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed2c…9597backed BBL Esports | 46c | 2,760$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.72 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked Fnatic | 62c | 1,916$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.73 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed BBL Esports | 37c | 1,081$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.94 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed BBL Esports | 28c | 865.21$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.04 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed BBL Esports | 76c | 811.77$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.77 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked BBL Esports | 24c | 634.44$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.34 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed BBL Esports | 19c | 505$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.6 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Fnatic | 53c | 406.12$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.62 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed BBL Esports | 36c | 267.11$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.13 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BBL Esports | 24c | 239.39$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.75 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…b49abacked BBL Esports | 65c | 151.38$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…eacbbacked BBL Esports | 54c | 111.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9a…796cbacked Fnatic | 22c | 111.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Fnatic | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 224 | 55.4%124 W · 100 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6c…4f6fbacked Fnatic | 77c | 90.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2811…13cdbacked Fnatic | 66c | 60.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3b…7742backed Fnatic | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Fnatic | 64c | 29.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Fnatic vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs BBL Esports (+1.5)BBL Esports won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff PlayoffsBBL Esports won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs BBL Esports - Map 2 WinnerBBL Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.