Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fnatic vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bafd0e49591449d08c52c8fcc9455bd5643f6f33025f6440acc283c80694ad9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BBL Esportsof Fnatic, BBL Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked BBL Esports | 34c | 5,533$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,626.63 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Fnatic | 61c | 3,721$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268.11 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1544…6f27backed Fnatic | 50c | 2,572$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Fnatic | 76c | 1,568$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.93 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…0ac2backed BBL Esports | 51c | 1,534$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked BBL Esports | 65c | 1,198$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.42 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ca…3df3backed Fnatic | 9c | 937.41$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Fnatic | 74c | 599.3$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.48 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Fnatic | 62c | 530$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.6 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed BBL Esports | 24c | 306.49$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.13 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6183…575fbacked BBL Esports | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed BBL Esports | 70c | 205.55$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 224 | 55.4%124 W · 100 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Fnatic | 69c | 205$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Fnatic | 56c | 153.77$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.79 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed BBL Esports | 73c | 114.9$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Fnatic | 76c | 113.22$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.05 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BBL Esports | 75c | 91.16$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Fnatic | 24c | 77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9e…f22bbacked Fnatic | 76c | 60.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -8.6wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Fnatic | 76c | 51.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked BBL Esports | 39c | 50.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Fnatic | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…27eabacked BBL Esports | 27c | 44.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb108…7212backed Fnatic | 76c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Fnatic | 44c | 38.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1445…614abacked Fnatic | 31c | 36.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9a…796cbacked Fnatic | 76c | 34.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…227bbacked Fnatic | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Fnatic vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs BBL Esports (+1.5)BBL Esports won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff PlayoffsBBL Esports won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs BBL Esports - Map 1 WinnerBBL Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.