Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: All Gamers vs Nova Esports (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22b59dcd3117d1a1367f4b97cb26e69359a6cae93f92882090031559c9dee809
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- All Gamersof All Gamers, Nova Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed All Gamers | 67c | 5,367$3,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.9 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Nova Esports | 41c | 1,912$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Nova Esports | 13c | 1,563$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.8 | 266 | 34.6%92 W · 174 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed All Gamers | 38c | 1,300$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…547ebacked Nova Esports | 62c | 1,298$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed All Gamers | 73c | 1,208$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.83 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Nova Esports | 34c | 769.15$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed All Gamers | 39c | 627.16$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.57 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5b…0324backed All Gamers | 40c | 624.9$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.94 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Nova Esports | 25c | 599.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 220 | 18.2%40 W · 180 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Nova Esports | 60c | 588.66$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.2 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked All Gamers | 66c | 442.16$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Nova Esports | 14c | 418.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.17 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nova Esports | 23c | 401.67$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.91 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nova Esports | 61c | 377.16$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.07 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Nova Esports | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed All Gamers | 58c | 254.76$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.13 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Nova Esports | 61c | 250$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Nova Esports | 28c | 240.83$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed All Gamers | 37c | 209.73$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.13 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Nova Esports | 25c | 208$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6c…4f6fbacked Nova Esports | 48c | 207.96$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.82 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed All Gamers | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked All Gamers | 79c | 175.57$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Nova Esports | 63c | 174.6$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked All Gamers | 40c | 164.73$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.36 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nova Esports | 44c | 161.59$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.66 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Nova Esports | 25c | 146.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nova Esports | 34c | 144$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Nova Esports | 55c | 142.19$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.89 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ff…9aaabacked All Gamers | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked All Gamers | 71c | 138.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.63 | 104 | 60.6%63 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Nova Esports | 29c | 117.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacde…2f88backed All Gamers | 45c | 112.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…a7ecbacked Nova Esports | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd511…27dbbacked All Gamers | 77c | 99.05$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bfd8backed Nova Esports | 62c | 97.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Nova Esports | 50c | 95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…d72dbacked Nova Esports | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Nova Esports | 44c | 71.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 339 | 47.8%162 W · 177 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…4e05backed Nova Esports | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…dc6dbacked All Gamers | 79c | 61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -49%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed All Gamers | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Nova Esports | 38c | 52.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a20…a8d6backed All Gamers | 41c | 50.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79e0…c91cbacked Nova Esports | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked All Gamers | 38c | 49.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…b832backed All Gamers | 65c | 47.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed All Gamers | 80c | 45.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Nova Esports | 26c | 42.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Nova Esports | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…4306backed All Gamers | 43c | 39.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed All Gamers | 54c | 37.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a1…4e4dbacked All Gamers | 62c | 32.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Nova Esports | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Nova Esports | 60c | 29.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Nova Esports | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Nova Esports | 36c | 28.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nova Esports | 50c | 28.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6427…56bbbacked All Gamers | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked All Gamers | 41c | 26.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed All Gamers | 66c | 22.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5514…72bdbacked Nova Esports | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa6…0758backed All Gamers | 77c | 14.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: All Gamers vs Nova Esports (BO3)this page
- All Gamers to win 0 maps?No won
- All Gamers to win 1 maps?No won
- All Gamers to win 2 maps?Yes won
- All Gamers to win a map?Yes won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Nova Esports to win 1 maps?No won
- Nova Esports to win 2 maps?No won
- Valorant: All Gamers vs Nova Esports - Map 1 WinnerAll Gamers won
- Valorant: All Gamers vs Nova Esports - Map 2 WinnerAll Gamers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.