Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: All Gamers vs Nova Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c74d6002d44b3db5ea2951711c9ec894c9dbae28535cd6494d6e16a1788fe5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- All Gamersof All Gamers, Nova Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Nova Esports | 22c | 1,166$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.18 | 220 | 18.2%40 W · 180 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nova Esports | 3c | 973$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed All Gamers | 78c | 875$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.44 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed All Gamers | 74c | 638.86$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.31 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Nova Esports | 32c | 444.55$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.2 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Nova Esports | 34c | 269$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.42 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed Nova Esports | 18c | 259.11$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…b49abacked All Gamers | 57c | 218.75$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.86 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Nova Esports | 25c | 68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a20…a8d6backed All Gamers | 48c | 56.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked All Gamers | 79c | 55.78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4325…888ebacked All Gamers | 40c | 47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Nova Esports | 29c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…78f7backed Nova Esports | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: All Gamers vs Nova Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- All Gamers to win 0 maps?No won
- All Gamers to win 1 maps?No won
- All Gamers to win 2 maps?Yes won
- All Gamers to win a map?Yes won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Nova Esports to win 1 maps?No won
- Nova Esports to win 2 maps?No won
- Valorant: All Gamers vs Nova Esports (BO3)All Gamers won
- Valorant: All Gamers vs Nova Esports - Map 2 WinnerAll Gamers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.