TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: T1 vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nongshim RedForceof T1, Nongshim RedForce
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,202
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,543

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,202 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x61fa…7f62backed Nongshim RedForce33c3,233$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,165.3718056.1%101 W · 79 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked T167c2,141$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4432763%17 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8157…f6ebbacked T158c2,125$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.743455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Nongshim RedForce28c1,627$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.28438.1%32 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Nongshim RedForce33c1,454$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.5610756.1%60 W · 47 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Nongshim RedForce36c1,200$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.9928548.4%138 W · 147 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Nongshim RedForce35c1,200$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.9933348.3%161 W · 172 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40a5…f0a8backed T164c1,166$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.961040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed T140c1,159$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.8426634.6%92 W · 174 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked T149c1,041$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.851637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked T123c965.58$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.311433.3%38 W · 76 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fb7…082dbacked Nongshim RedForce44c901.01$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.01966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8f9…fee2backed T165c878.41$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56728247.5%134 W · 148 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed T14c811.56$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6127411.3%31 W · 243 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ab…f5c1backed T160c751.39$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.788053.8%43 W · 37 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed T164c695.88$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.1824946.2%115 W · 134 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12a1…4e4dbacked Nongshim RedForce59c678.32$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.091450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked T128c607.01$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.211,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed T120c571.23$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.822737%10 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c37…e7eebacked T165c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked T140c495$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9228541.1%117 W · 168 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Nongshim RedForce33c397.51$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.3318457.1%105 W · 79 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06b5…cab4backed Nongshim RedForce29c312.73$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.731533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ecf…d57dbacked Nongshim RedForce32c309.97$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.784755.3%26 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc14d…f137backed Nongshim RedForce74c298.39$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.262556%14 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacde…2f88backed T164c266.03$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.261855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x28b6…4eddbacked Nongshim RedForce38c253.39$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+73.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fc5…b698backed Nongshim RedForce43c232.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.435050%25 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Nongshim RedForce32c217.11$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7531232.7%102 W · 210 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed T154c203.85$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Nongshim RedForce13c200$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17430828.2%87 W · 221 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Nongshim RedForce13c199.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.9922018.2%40 W · 180 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fc5…d36ebacked Nongshim RedForce25c165.66$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.661060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+30.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed T120c155.97$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.758234.1%28 W · 54 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe6c…4f6fbacked T164c155.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed T165c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e5b…0324backed T167c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9734…bfd8backed T168c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019257.8%111 W · 81 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd084…27eabacked Nongshim RedForce38c146.35$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.462454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed T139c128.61$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6977929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Nongshim RedForce61c127.48$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9339545.8%181 W · 214 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed T173c126.97$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.443729.7%11 W · 26 L-5.6wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-48.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Nongshim RedForce34c119.97$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3823847.9%114 W · 124 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed T165c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6542840%171 W · 257 L-22.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9cd…432cbacked T160c99.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.992441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5558…227bbacked T134c97.75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.848333.7%28 W · 55 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf76d…29d8backed T165c92.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked T119c90.75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.093050%15 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed T170c90.1$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2531634.2%108 W · 208 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb27…8be8backed Nongshim RedForce50c85.45$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3814757.8%85 W · 62 L+13.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x62f9…ae42backed Nongshim RedForce61c83.34$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.52050%10 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31d4…7d99backed Nongshim RedForce30c80$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+55.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked T167c74.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507960.8%48 W · 31 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked T171c70.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5bd…c27fbacked Nongshim RedForce55c67.83$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.83955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0bf…dc6dbacked T163c66$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.622035%7 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-49%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed T127c61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4725752.1%134 W · 123 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8918…f4e4backed T166c60.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed T146c55.61$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.561546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb186…a946backed Nongshim RedForce43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x499c…e165backed T167c44.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked T167c43.59$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.462856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda33…f36fbacked T166c38.01$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e70…f4c9backed Nongshim RedForce35c37.14$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9dd…4306backed T168c36.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Nongshim RedForce34c35.29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.294040%16 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ac…e861backed T164c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x670d…fbe9backed Nongshim RedForce36c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c32…12cebacked T168c29.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Nongshim RedForce74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0342051.9%218 W · 202 L-21.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a11…de7cbacked T174c26.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick71cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7189…d623backed T164c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e49…1ca8backed T165c24.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ce…8945backed T168c22.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf734…7382backed T167c20.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30e8…f6c5backed T150c20.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7c7…24c2backed T164c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.82070%14 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2591…3aebbacked T167c17.83$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5f…6192backed T159c17.24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0fb…9a1dbacked Nongshim RedForce74c16.56$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca1d…9782backed T167c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.054040%16 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.