Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: T1 vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf65bad91a742c5fbb1eeab2e9499e8338bbfd6bfe1b8786a50cc95dca2949c89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nongshim RedForceof T1, Nongshim RedForce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nongshim RedForce | 33c | 930.65$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.27 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed T1 | 67c | 764.46$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.19 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed T1 | 63c | 275.13$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.33 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…27eabacked T1 | 68c | 209.06$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.11 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Nongshim RedForce | 33c | 199.94$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.96 | 220 | 18.2%40 W · 180 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed Nongshim RedForce | 37c | 154.05$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.05 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7730…df57backed Nongshim RedForce | 37c | 113.83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Nongshim RedForce | 51c | 101.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.21 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked T1 | 43c | 99.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a1…4e4dbacked T1 | 55c | 92.39$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Nongshim RedForce | 60c | 55.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed T1 | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…227bbacked T1 | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed T1 | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…c27fbacked T1 | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed T1 | 67c | 16.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: T1 vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5)Nongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: T1 vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff PlayoffsNongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: T1 vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 WinnerT1 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.