Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will BSC Young Boys win on 2026-01-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef8cef07c01c5667f628885cfd5d7456d9d8ee660c35af68f0959a1ef71b4d16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $214,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 8c | 67,524$5,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,401.89 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc12…8093backed Yes | 4c | 27,607$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 6c | 15,307$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.45 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 7c | 7,179$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.46 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 7c | 7,100$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 7c | 3,811$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.87 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 13c | 2,977$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 15c | 2,190$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.44 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 7c | 2,010$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.2 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 8c | 1,875$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 6c | 1,248$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…c084backed Yes | 7c | 1,240$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 9c | 860$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…6d71backed Yes | 12c | 746$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 13c | 711.08$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.24 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 12c | 653.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01f…574ebacked Yes | 2c | 600$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 12c | 505.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…1ad4backed Yes | 3c | 423.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Yes | 6c | 416.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef1…d333backed Yes | 4c | 407.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 9c | 400$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 9c | 385.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59a6…6987backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 8c | 298.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 65 | 13.8%9 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…be12backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4d…77aabacked Yes | 7c | 267.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98c5…dd3bbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x101e…eaf4backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d7…962fbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…2130backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3e…2832backed Yes | 7c | 157.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 12c | 153.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Yes | 8c | 144$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61b6…a62fbacked Yes | 10c | 132.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Yes | 9c | 130$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2040…70f4backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BSC Young Boys win on 2026-01-29?this page
- Will VfB Stuttgart vs. BSC Young Boys end in a draw?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.